Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-02-2014, 12:40 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default Bourbon Courage

Correct me if I'm wrong, but going by the official chart, his fractions were roughly 23-, 45 4/5, 57 4/5, 108 3/5.

That means his final 2f was 22 4/5 and his final 1f was 10 4/5. This is basically unheard of on the dirt, regardless of distance. I was already taken away by his stretch burst and awesome gallop out, but these numbers make it even more dazzling. I know the Trakus charts give different numbers but I'm old school and generally trust the charts, especially on a major circuit.

I paid a little more attention to his run because I had money on him, and don't get me started on what I thought the result would be if he had the trip I wanted him to have. Regardless, he clearly is vastly improved sprinting and I'm interested to see how he runs next year (is it too early to talk about potential 2015 BC winners?!)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-02-2014, 01:00 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Correct me if I'm wrong, but going by the official chart, his fractions were roughly 23-, 45 4/5, 57 4/5, 108 3/5.

That means his final 2f was 22 4/5 and his final 1f was 10 4/5. This is basically unheard of on the dirt, regardless of distance. I was already taken away by his stretch burst and awesome gallop out, but these numbers make it even more dazzling. I know the Trakus charts give different numbers but I'm old school and generally trust the charts, especially on a major circuit.

I paid a little more attention to his run because I had money on him, and don't get me started on what I thought the result would be if he had the trip I wanted him to have. Regardless, he clearly is vastly improved sprinting and I'm interested to see how he runs next year (is it too early to talk about potential 2015 BC winners?!)
And I bet out on him across the board. Its in selections, kinda brutal.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-02-2014, 09:05 AM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Correct me if I'm wrong, but going by the official chart, his fractions were roughly 23-, 45 4/5, 57 4/5, 108 3/5.

That means his final 2f was 22 4/5 and his final 1f was 10 4/5. This is basically unheard of on the dirt, regardless of distance. I was already taken away by his stretch burst and awesome gallop out, but these numbers make it even more dazzling. I know the Trakus charts give different numbers but I'm old school and generally trust the charts, especially on a major circuit.

I paid a little more attention to his run because I had money on him, and don't get me started on what I thought the result would be if he had the trip I wanted him to have. Regardless, he clearly is vastly improved sprinting and I'm interested to see how he runs next year (is it too early to talk about potential 2015 BC winners?!)
The run he made was one of the more exciting performances, even if he came up short!
__________________
Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-02-2014, 10:19 AM
Gate Dancer's Avatar
Gate Dancer Gate Dancer is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: SW Nebr
Posts: 1,155
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
The run he made was one of the more exciting performances, even if he came up short!
Totally agree.............but Bobby's Kittens run was pretty electrifying also!
__________________
A racehorse is an animal that can take several thousand people for a ride at the same time. ~Author Unknown
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-02-2014, 12:07 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,276
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
And I bet out on him across the board. Its in selections, kinda brutal.
Based on his record sprinting which only was visible in the lifetime PP's I keyed him in all my mutis and couldn't resist emptying the bankroll at that price. Really thought he would follow Work All Week out of there and a least get a striking position. He breaks with the field and then gets dragged back to the rear. Have no idea why he waited so long to make his move and then fans so wide he goes out of the picture. How about coming up the inside and gambling you make your way through. A lot better alternative that going so wide you take yourself out of the race and then close like a madman.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-02-2014, 12:11 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,276
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gate Dancer View Post
Totally agree.............but Bobby's Kittens run was pretty electrifying also!
That turn of foot was mindboggling. As there are so few opps racing for big money turf sprinting I bet they try him back at a mile as a one run closer. I know I would.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-03-2014, 07:19 AM
booner's Avatar
booner booner is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Russellville, KY
Posts: 1,242
Default

I had great interest in him also. I'm wondering if 6 is too short for him.

Going forward, he could be a major player up to a mile (one turn mile, that is). Starting to remind me of Caleb's Posse.
__________________
"Success does not consist in never making blunders, but in never making the same one a second time." -
Josh Billings
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-04-2014, 02:13 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Based on his record sprinting which only was visible in the lifetime PP's I keyed him in all my mutis and couldn't resist emptying the bankroll at that price. Really thought he would follow Work All Week out of there and a least get a striking position. He breaks with the field and then gets dragged back to the rear. Have no idea why he waited so long to make his move and then fans so wide he goes out of the picture. How about coming up the inside and gambling you make your way through. A lot better alternative that going so wide you take yourself out of the race and then close like a madman.
This is exactly what I thought would happen.

Here he is just after the start, with the red indicating where I would have liked him to have been.



And here he is a few seconds later, where he could have snuck in behind the eventual winner, assuming he was in the spot pointed to in the first image.



He was wide the entire race so even if he was caught a couple extra paths out I don't think it would have made a difference.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-04-2014, 04:50 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

If Bourbon Courage had been where you wanted him, he likely would have finished nowhere near the superfecta.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-04-2014, 05:05 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Nick, do you mind explaining why you think that? I don't see how it would have been much different than the trip Secret Circle got last year.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 11-04-2014, 05:59 PM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Nick, do you mind explaining why you think that? I don't see how it would have been much different than the trip Secret Circle got last year.
If he stays that close, there is almost no chance he has that kind of kick at the end. Huge late runs are almost always an illusion.
__________________
@TimeformUSfigs
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 11-04-2014, 06:07 PM
Conrad Conrad is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 1,288
Default

Karakontie and Anodin each put in nice runs in the Mile.
One right after the other - Anodin bore in a bit late but (here comes the cliché) looked like he was shot out of a cannon.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 11-04-2014, 07:22 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles View Post
If he stays that close, there is almost no chance he has that kind of kick at the end. Huge late runs are almost always an illusion.
Of course, but he wouldn't need that kind of kick to win from that position. He had triple digit Beyers in his first two career starts, which were both at 6f, being on the pace or just flanking it, so I don't think my theory is that flawed. He had a last quarter in 23 4/5 and 23 2/5 in those starts as well. I'm not saying he would have come home that quickly off a sub 44 half, but it shows he has the ability to kick even being up close. Even if he was 3 lengths off the lead in the BC, he would have needed a 24 2/5 last quarter to definitely win. I don't think that's unreasonable.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 11-04-2014, 09:18 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Bourbon Courage ran his final 1/4 in 23.52 and final 1/8 in 11.69s, times which were 1.33 and 1.18 seconds faster than the splits of Work ALl Week. The comparable times for others in the top ten of the Sprint are listed in the blog attached.

http://www.americasbestracing.net/en...up-data-recap/
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 11-05-2014, 12:38 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Another problem with this horse is they wasted a lot of time running him in races he really should not have been in. He could have been a 1 turn beast. Maybe its not to late, we will see.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 11-05-2014, 02:25 PM
Jasper131 Jasper131 is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: NJ
Posts: 44
Default

From a pace figure standpoint, if you put Bourbon Courage next to Baaken, that still would have been the highest pace figure that he'd run since his debut which was 19 races (mostly routes) and 33 months ago. Plus you'd have to use him to get there.

On the DRF Moss scale, Fast Anna went 98-99 for the first two fractions and Baaken, who was 4 lengths off the lead, went 87-92. That's just way faster than Bourbon Courage is used to.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 11-05-2014, 08:11 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

I rarely use Trakus and don't use DRF Moss figures, so I can't speak to that.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 11-06-2014, 08:18 AM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Bobby's Kitten and Bourbon Courage were two great examples of horses who had their trainers impose their will on them to get them to go further than they wanted to go, and further than they were bred to go on the bottom of their pedigree.

I wish Bourbon Courage had an extra half furlong to work with, he would have made my Breeders' Cup for me. Bobby's Kitten just saved me from a rough weekend.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 11-06-2014, 09:03 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,932
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Bobby's Kitten and Bourbon Courage were two great examples of horses who had their trainers impose their will on them to get them to go further than they wanted to go, and further than they were bred to go on the bottom of their pedigree.

I wish Bourbon Courage had an extra half furlong to work with, he would have made my Breeders' Cup for me. Bobby's Kitten just saved me from a rough weekend.
Excuse me? You are putting Bobby's Kitten and Bourbon Courage in the same category? Really? This is not your best work.

Let's make some quick comparisons....Bourbon Courage could have run in lucrative Grade 1s and Grade 2s from 6F to one mile, many that featured less than stellar fields. Bobby's Kitten could have run where exactly for what money exactly....a bunch of 5F and 5 1/2 furlong races, with mostly paltry purses, where the winner's share didn't even equal third in the Woodbine Mile, a race where one could easily argue he ran a winning race? Bobby's Kitten did win the $400K Penn Mile. Was that a bad choice and he should have opted for the 6F $300K Jaipur against older?

Don't get mad, I still love you, and think you're brilliant, but this was a horrendous comparison on your part.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 11-06-2014, 09:45 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Bobby's Kitten and Bourbon Courage were two great examples of horses who had their trainers impose their will on them to get them to go further than they wanted to go, and further than they were bred to go on the bottom of their pedigree.

I wish Bourbon Courage had an extra half furlong to work with, he would have made my Breeders' Cup for me. Bobby's Kitten just saved me from a rough weekend.
I suppose one could make a case that Bobby's Kitten isn't bred for distance underneath, but I'll make one that says he can.

His second dam is a half sister to Paradise Creek and his third dam is a half sister to Theatrical. Both had no issues getting distances.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.