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Old 07-03-2020, 07:01 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 7/4: Belmont Park (3rd-11th; XC P5); Delaware Park (8th-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD ~ No Show Wagering)

Most Likely: #1 Frank's Rockette 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #3 Reagan's Edge 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Center Aisle 5-2 3rd



4th: MSW, 3+, 9f-Inner Turf (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mr Jaggers 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Bay Street Money 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Malibu Edge 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Red Storm Risen 7-2 3rd


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Amundson 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tiz He the One 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Zoomer 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Fortin Hill 5-2 WON ($5.90)


P5 Grid:

1: 8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
2: 1-2/SCR (A), 7 (B), - (C)
3: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
4: 1-4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-6-7-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x1x5x8 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-5 (8,9/1,2,5,8/1/1/7) Paid $17.37 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
4: 1-4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-6-7-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x5x8 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,5,8/1/1/7) Paid $10.95 (A-A-A-A)


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pilot Episode 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Publication 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #2 L'Indiscret 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Liza Jambalaya 10-1 7th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Danfusi 4-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Point Him Out 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Bad Guy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Jo's Bold Cat 8-1 5th


8th: Poker (G3), 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Value Proposition 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Got Stormy 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Seismic Wave 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Social Paranoia 4-1 WON ($11.80)


DELAWARE 8th: Delaware Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (Cross Country P5, P3, DD)

Start of the Cross Country P5 and a very well-matched set of sophomore fillies. Sure feels like there's enough front end interested parties to look for an off the pace type..

Best Value: #8 Queen Bridget 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Comical 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Hopeful Growth 10-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Princess Cadey 10-1 3rd


DELAWARE 9th: Kent (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

In a sequence that gets tougher at BEL, hope is that Gufo & Pixelate get you through this leg..

Most Likely: #6 Gufo 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Pixelate 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Bye Bye Melvin 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Vanzzy 4-1 3rd


9th: Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Code of Honor 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 McKinzie 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Vekoma 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Super Add: #7 Mr Freeze 8-1 6th


10th: Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-Inner Turf (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rockemperor 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sadler's Joy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Spooky Channel 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Instilled Regard 2-1 WON ($6.00)


11th: Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f

Most Likely: #1 Tacitus 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Mr. Buff 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Just Whistle 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Moretti 5-1 2nd


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

DEL 8: 1-5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 7 (C)
DEL 9: 6 (A), 3 (B), 4-8 (C)
BEL 9: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
BEL 10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
BEL 11: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x6x1 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x1x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P5 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), - (B), 1-5-9 (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
11: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

8: 4-7-9 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
11: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/2/1/1,3,5) Paid $64.37


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-05-2020 at 04:01 AM.
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  #2  
Old 07-04-2020, 10:02 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default

BEL SCR/CHG'S

2nd - 2-5 & MTO 8
6th - AE's 13-14-15-16
8th - MTO 8
11th - 5
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 07-04-2020, 10:47 AM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 964
Default any revamping of

early pick 5 steve now that one of ur [a] horses are scratched [the 2]
thank u
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  #4  
Old 07-04-2020, 05:48 PM
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goodcopy goodcopy is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 464
Default 4 of 5?

Any chance the cross country pays on 4?
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