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  #1  
Old 05-25-2015, 07:42 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 5/25: Belmont Park (Big Apple Showcase Day)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 One Sided 9-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #6 Watch the Tie 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Got Winged 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Apache Warrior 12-1 3rd


2nd: 37th Mount Vernon, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific matchup with returnees and 2nd off winter break runners including Joe Gioia's defending winner Maj Jong Maddnes. Any combo of the 7 is possible..

Best Value: #6 Mah Jong Maddnes 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Old Harbor 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Invading Humor 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #2 Chrysolite 8-1 5th


3rd: 3rd Commentator, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Even as a one-turner, not that much pace involved with Readbytheline targeted by Saratoga Snacks from the outset. Hard for me to not be openly supportive of Snacks and Sciacca, but reality is 6yo ridgling is the one to beat and doing well with pair of nice efforts since the return to Barn 60..

Most Likely: #4 Saratoga Snacks 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Readtheprospectus 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Summer Place to Be 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Readbytheline 3-1 2nd


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

A number of 1-for's here like 1-for-22 Prize Taker, 1-for-25 Legally Bay and 1-for-15 Shades of Indigo making those with abbreviated resumes more appealing on win end..

Most Likely: #5 Perfect Freud 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #8 Momma Giovanna Late SCR (Gate)
Next Best: #1 Prize Taker 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Legally Bay 8-1 4th


5th: 36th Mike Lee, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific start to the Big Apple Triple with a group of 9 where top 4 could finish any of the possible 3,024 eligible combinations..

Best Value: #3 Battle of Evermore 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Wincoma 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Ostralenka 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #9 Good Luck Gus 5-1 2nd


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

WIDE open dozen..

Best Value: #4 Latigo Trail 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Birchwood Road 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Forever Utopia 8-1 WON ($9.20)
Super Add: #11 Candid Desire 12-1 5th


7th: 38th Bouwerie, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Every bit as competitive as the boys' race..

Most Likely: #6 Quezon 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #10 Temper Mint Patty 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Lakeside Sunset 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Take Issue 8-1 8th
Super Add: #2 The Lewis Dinner 5-1 5th


8th: 37th Kingston, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 King Kreesa 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lubash 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Kharafa 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Captain Gaughen 20-1 7th


9th: 2nd Critical Eye, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Sheriffa 5-1 WON ($20.40)
Next Best: #2 Saythreehailmarys 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Piccolo Flats 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Carameaway 3-1 8th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Pink Freud Live 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Livi On Love 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Dot Product 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Back to Me 6-1 -


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-25-2015 at 05:08 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-25-2015, 09:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-26-2015, 12:45 PM
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Gaines2b Gaines2b is offline
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Posts: 684
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Quote:
6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

WIDE open dozen..

Best Value: #4 Latigo Trail 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Birchwood Road 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Forever Utopia 8-1 WON ($9.20)
Super Add: #11 Candid Desire 12-1 5th


7th: 38th Bouwerie, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Every bit as competitive as the boys' race..

Most Likely: #6 Quezon 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #10 Temper Mint Patty 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Lakeside Sunset 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Take Issue 8-1 8th
Super Add: #2 The Lewis Dinner 5-1 5th


8th: 37th Kingston, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 King Kreesa 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lubash 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Kharafa 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Captain Gaughen 20-1 7th


9th: 2nd Critical Eye, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Sheriffa 5-1 WON ($20.40)
Next Best: #2 Saythreehailmarys 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Piccolo Flats 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Carameaway 3-1 8th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Pink Freud Live 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Livi On Love 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Dot Product 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Back to Me 6-1 -


Good luck!
Steve
Nice handicapping, Steve, especially the last 5 races- Win and Place in your top three picks.$$$
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  #4  
Old 05-26-2015, 07:27 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaines2b View Post
Nice handicapping, Steve, especially the last 5 races- Win and Place in your top three picks.$$$
G2B..

THX.. Was a really fun card. Particularly pleased to have gotten to Sheriffa. Hope you and everyone did well.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 05-27-2015, 09:39 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,453
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Steve, solid work
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