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View Poll Results: Who is your top Derby contender | |||
Essential Quality | 3 | 9.09% | |
Known Agenda | 9 | 27.27% | |
Hot Rod Charlie | 2 | 6.06% | |
Rock Your World | 7 | 21.21% | |
Super Stock | 2 | 6.06% | |
Concert Tour | 2 | 6.06% | |
Highly Motivated | 3 | 9.09% | |
Medina Spirit | 2 | 6.06% | |
Soup and Sandwich | 2 | 6.06% | |
Other | 1 | 3.03% | |
Voters: 33. You may not vote on this poll |
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#1
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Who is your top Kentucky Derby contender? Part II.
I'm curious to see how everyone's thoughts have changed. Last time, Essential Quality got 1 vote and Concert Tour led the way with 6 votes. Of course, that was before Concert Tour's big disappointment in the Arkansas Derby.
Now that all the derby preps are in the books, who do you have as the top Derby contender? |
#2
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The first poll had 18 votes, with 1 for Essential Quality. This poll currently has 18 votes, with 2 for Essential Quality.
For a horse expected to be the Kentucky Derby favorite, that's pretty lukewarm. |
#3
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I’m shocked Rock Your World has 7 votes.
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#4
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Every horse seems to have a few question marks so I think people are gravitating to the one horse that really wowed in his last derby prep. I also have no clue if people are factoring in expected odds when they're voting (possibly explaining why Essential Quality has the same number of votes as Soup and Sandwich.)
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#5
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It makes handicapping the race much easier
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#6
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#7
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I'm pretty interested in Highly Motivated & I think he's got the potential to get somewhat lost on the board, especially considering some of love the others are likely to get. I'll be watching his training very closely in the weeks ahead.
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#8
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How the heck are we supposed to know this without the dapple report on Derby Week?
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#9
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This is a nice complicated race for sure like derby should be. Hot Rod Charlie looks to be sitting on a big one and ONeill knows how to win this race. Would rather Rosario then Prat. Essential Quality is a winner and I loved his last gutty win against a real tough horse in highly motivated who had everything go his way. Known Agenda is at top form but pletcher always concerns me in derby as I feel his horses tend to peak in preps to get into derby but should get a nice setup in this race. Rock your world looked awesome in Santa Anita race and distance shouldn’t be a concern. One race only on dirt and this race should be quick up front. As for the rest most look the same but will watch works and look closer as derby gets here.
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#10
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The rest of the field is just very uninspiring. Essential Quality can't be totally dismissed and Known Agenda seems to be coming on at the right time...but I can't really get excited about any of the other horses. |
#11
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#12
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I'm one of the two that has Essential Quality. The only other one I can see is Rock Your World but I think it's really Essential Quality's race to lose. Having said that, even he didn't impress me last out.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine |
#13
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No horse has won the Kentucky Derby from gate 1 since Ferdinand in 1986. The only horse who has won from post 1, 2, or 3 since then is Real Quiet, the 1998 Derby winner who came up just a nose shy of winning the Triple Crown. Before 1987, 19 of 58 horses that left those gates won, giving the gates a 10.9% win rate. Since 1987, the win rate for posts 1, 2, or 3 is just 1.01% (1-for-99).
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Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization. https://www.rerunottb.com/:) |
#14
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#15
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Timeform released an early pace projector and it has Rock Your World able to get the lead and only Caddo River anywhere close to him. It's way early, but I've got to think Cox runs Caddo River or else this race could set up perfectly for Rock Your World.
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#16
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#17
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I’m going to respectfully disagree that Rock Your World is going to be ahead of Caddo River early
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#18
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You dont like rock your world i take it? I thought his race in SA derby was pretty good but if im missing something let me know b/c i know you are a really good handicapper. thanks
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#19
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I rarely pick the Derby winner. My Preakness record is MUCH stronger:-)
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#20
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thank you for the response. he did control the pace that day but i guess i have put to much into his races before the SA derby just thought they looked good and the way he quickened was good. I will agree that he is going to be bet and depress any good odds.
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