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Old 11-12-2020, 05:52 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 11/12: Aqueduct/Churchill Cross Country P5

AQUEDUCT/CHURCHILL CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


Leg A: Aqueduct - Race 8 (3:47 pm)
Leg B: Churchill Downs - Race 7 (4:06 pm)
Leg C: Aqueduct - Race 9 (4:17 pm)
Leg D: Churchill Downs - Race 8 (4:36 pm)
Leg E: Churchill Downs - Race 9 (5:06 pm)


AQU 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Our Last Buck 1-1 4th
Best Value: #5 First Line 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Dudley Square 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mischief Afoot 7-2 WON ($10.40)


CD 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Second Coming 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Beautiful Trauma 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 French Empire 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Chance to Shine 4-1 6th


AQU 9th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 1m

Bad bunch o' coconuts and as Andy says, "Bad horses win bad races".. There's several here that could surprise..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Juan 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Uncle Ned 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Tri Saint Lorenzo 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz Envy 6-1 6th


CD 8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Abrogate 5-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #12 Mine for Passion 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Dame Cinco 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Zoom Up 3-1 2nd


CD 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 Lake Nakuru 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Telephone Talker 9-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Churn N Burn 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Toma Todo 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

AQU 8: 6 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
CD 7: 1-4 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
AQU 9: 1-2-9 (A), 4-5-6 (B), 3-7-11 (C)
CD 8: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
CD 9: 6-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5) + $18 (3-7-11) + $36 (2-4-8-11)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-12-2020 at 04:24 PM.
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Old 11-12-2020, 10:13 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Default

CD SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 11-12-2020, 02:56 PM
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Wow that was some serious herding in Aqueduct 8. That horse should have come down.
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Old 11-12-2020, 03:01 PM
chuck60 chuck60 is offline
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Unbelievable, he should be suspended, but he does that all the time, and they let him....
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Old 11-12-2020, 04:19 PM
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Unreal. Pays $1,263 or 3x the parlay.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 11-12-2020, 04:24 PM
chuck60 chuck60 is offline
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Great handicapping Steve, we'll get 'em next time! That payout was huge, I was thinking around $400 or so, and I was shocked when I saw the will-pays.
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Old 11-12-2020, 04:55 PM
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I knew Nevin horse wasn't winning the first leg, but couldn't figure out how to better attack it. 4x2x3x3x2 was the right answer but the AQU nightcap was such a dog's breakfast. Am thoroughly disgusted.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 11-12-2020, 05:47 PM
chuck60 chuck60 is offline
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Me too. I couldn't get off 2-3-4 in the 1st leg as I didn't like the 6, and feared the 3 was ready to pop one loose. And thinking the rest was probably pretty chalky, just couldn't justify the risk, but in hindsight....
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