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Old 01-14-2023, 02:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,546
Default 1/14: Oaklawn (4th-10th)

OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Two Eagles River 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Judo 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Verifying 6-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Gun Pilot 15-1 2nd


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Stellar Lily (7-2) has lost ground in the stretch of all of her starts and would seemingly have to wire this set to win..

Best Value: #5 Fabulous Fanny 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Vow 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Church Service 12-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Tales of Home 3-1 WON ($11.20)


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ash Flat 8-5: Figures tough on the drop; Not unbeatable.. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Lookin for Loki 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Impressed 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Lake Radio 20-1 4th


7th: AR-MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

This murky bunch feels like a sinkhole..

Best Value: #2 Quarantined 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Finishwhatustarted 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Bradley Pink 2-1 11th
Super Add: #12 Betty Jo 4-1 WON ($12.60)


8th: OC/C, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Supremely well-matched rich conditional (non-4) field where 6-1 Rock Star Parking (5 wins) and 8-1 Headland (8 wins) are in for the $62.5k tag..

Best Value: #7 Rock Star Parking 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Lovemesomeme 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Hazy Command 8-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #8 Headland 8-1 5th


9th: Fifth Season, 4+, 1m (DD)

Fun set and Ortiz feels like he has a maturing Flat Out son in Heart Rhythm that's poised for a breakout..

Best Value: #3 Heart Rhythm 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Soy Tapatio 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Ginobili 7-5 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #6 Rated R Superstar 4-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f

Escapologist (4-1) needs pace to chase and Cox (Rocket and Roll) has insane stats (33%; $2.51!) taking blinkers off..

Most Likely: #6 Rocket and Roll 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #10 Escapologist 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Shopper's Revenge 2-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Itwasthisbig 15-1 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 9 (B), 1 (C)
7: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1 in the 6th)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-14-2023 at 05:02 PM.
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