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Old 09-03-2021, 05:05 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 9/3: Saratoga (Day 37; 5th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally difficult group of ham & egg claimers with many dropping down while having races that easily win. Pace looks honest enough..

Best Value: #1 Triple Americano 5-1 5TH
Next Best: #5 Papa Smooth Late SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Posse Can Disco 8-1 DNF-Pulled up
Super Add: #8 Litterbox 10-1 3rd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Tough start to P5 with 6 firsters and 4 more that were ordinary to disappointing in their debuts..

Most Likely: #3 Doc Doc Rock 5-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Howdyoumakeurmoney 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #8 Try It Again 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Fontanafredda 6-1 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Another tricky read with a number of ouchy types, notably favorite Emaraaty (3-1). Pace could actually be honest..

Most Likely: #1 Chocolate Bar 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Winning Factor 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Emaraaty 3-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Voodoo Zip 4-1 2nd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Rock solid set of state bred middle distance sprinters with enough turnback prompting to give off pace Luna's in Charge (10-1) a shot..

Best Value: #5 Luna's in Charge 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Big Bobby 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Prince of Pharoahs 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Gold Panda 2-1 WON ($4.40)


9th: Lucky Coin-R, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Ward's Maven, who failed here as the choice in last summer's Mahony, returns from Royal Ascot's King Stand. Logical, but shaky..

Most Likely: #8 Maven 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Backtohisroots 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Pulsate 4-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Maxwell Esquire 7-2 7th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

Top players seem well-matched with favored Lady Valentine earning plus worktab points..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Valentine 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fleeting Glimpse 10-1 -
Next Best: #2 Sitting Pretty 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Federalist Papers 5-1 WON ($21.60)


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
7: 1-3-8 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
10: 4 (A), 7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (8-9 in 6th) + $18 (1-3 in 8th) + $18 (3-5-7 in 9th) + $18 (2 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-8 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
10: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-3 in 8th) + $18 (3-5-7 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-03-2021 at 05:22 PM.
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Old 09-03-2021, 10:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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