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Old 09-05-2021, 05:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
Default 9/5: Saratoga (Day 39; 5th-12th); Kentucky Downs (9th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Arch of Fire 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1e Klaravich Ownership entry 7-5 WON ($4.00)/6th
Exotics Use: #9 Thismightbetheone 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Thisladyis the Law 4-1 4th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Fair Haired Boy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Clever Fellow 3-1 4th-DH
Exotics Use: #5 Actuary 8-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Risk Manager 5-1 WON ($9.00)


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Classy Edition 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Next Best: #6 Summer Snow 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Pals Ally 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Classic Lynne 4-1 4th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Texian 8-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #3 Jester Calls Nojoy 7-5 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Li Li Belle 5-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Malibu Kendall 8-1 2nd


9th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Murderous start to P4..

Best Value: #7 Kemba 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Baseline Drive 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Exotic West 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Command Point 4-1 4th


P5 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
6: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (6 in 7th)


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mystic Night 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 You're to Blame 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Superfecto 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 First Constitution 5-1 9th


11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

After stunning opening day debut, Echo Zulu has been focused on this..

Most Likely: #3 Echo Zulu 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Girl With a Dream 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Pretty Birdie 3-1 9th-Eased
Exotics Use: #1 Tarabi 8-1 2nd


12th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T

Scary finale if live in multis. Many, many eligible..

Most Likely: #1 Veterans Beach 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Neuro 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 King Angelo 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 High Limit Room 10-1 WON ($12.40)


P5 Grid:

8: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), 8-9-10 (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-6-7 (A), 3-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $27 (8-9-10 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 2-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6-9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-6-7 (A), 3-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
.50 Backup: $6 (8-10 in 10th)



KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Dueling Grounds Oaks, 3yo-F, 10.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Adventuring 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 Serene 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Core Values 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Inthewinnerscircle 9-2 4th


10th: Dueling Grounds Derby, 3yo, 10.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Cellist 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Red Hornet 30-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Du Jour 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Yes This Time 6-1 2nd


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-05-2021 at 06:14 PM.
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