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#1
02-15-2019, 09:02 PM
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2/16: Fair Grounds (9th-12)
FAIR GROUNDS
POST-SCRATCHES 9th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Harlan Punch 4-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Silver Dust 6-1 WON ($13.40) Next Best: #5 Lone Sailor 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #8 Phat Man 8-1 5th 10th: Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T/0' (P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Synchrony 3-1 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #1 Tiz a Slam 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 First Premio 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Sir Dudley Diggs 10-1 7th 11th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD) The more I look at this, the more perplexing it gets. As discussed on ATR, the cast has largely had moments that qualify them for success here, but whom today and how? Anticipated SCR of Bell’s the One will likely leave Serengeti Empress on a loose lead and don’t put it past Amoss to have her ready off the break. Positive Spirit is the universal now filly, but I sense Sisterson’s Oxy Lady will be the overlooked value and can win running back to the Tempted. Eres Tu was dogged in the SBD and feels like a surprise candidate with further improvement, or an exotics booster at the least. Using those 4 as A’s and the other 4 as B’s because no one is an easy cross out here.. Best Value: #6 Oxy Lady 6-1 6th Next Best: #4 Positive Spirit 5-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Eres Tu 12-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Serengeti Empress 6-1 WON ($5.80) 12th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f Though War of Will will need to overcome the outside draw, there's isn't too much speed inside him that prevents Gaffalione from setting up shop. Someone will have to move forward decidedly if the Lecomte winner runs back to last month's effort. The ones that could be in position with improvement are Plus Que Parfait (short for seasonal debut), Owendale & Country House (impressive ALW winners) and Mr. Money (BC Juvy 4th that missed Lecomte).. Best Value: #1 Plus Que Parfait 10-1 13th Next Best: #14 War of Will 5-2 WON ($4.00) Exotics Use: #8 Owendale 6-1 8th Super Add: #3 Mr. Money 12-1 7th P4 Grid: 9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C) 10: 9 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C) 11: 3-4-6-8 (A), 1-2-5-9 (B), - (C) 12: 1-8-14 (A), 3-9 (B), 6-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x1x8x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Full A/B/C: $120 $0.50 Pick-4 (4/3,4,9/3,7,10/13,14) Paid $83.20 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-17-2019 at 06:12 AM. 
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#3
02-16-2019, 12:59 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
02-16-2019, 01:00 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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