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Old 12-29-2019, 07:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
Default 12/29: Aqueduct ($123k P5 C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ringgood 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hellbender 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Stash My Money 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Too Early 5-1 2nd


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Our hard-trying Carlisle Belle makes her 12th start of the year here and has been instrumental in making 2019 Dee Tee's best year in wins and earnings (36/4-4-4; $147,109). Stretches back out to a mile after agonizing half length beat at the start of the month, but needs a bit of a collapse up front to pass all the top players like Am Impazible, Paved With Gold and The Great Johanna..

Most Likely: #8 Am Impazible 4-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #3 The Great Johanna 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Carlisle Belle 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Paved With Gold 7-2 6th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Deep, solid ALW field with what appears to be an honest pace scenario with 1-3-7-8-9-10 the prime players..

Most Likely: #10 The Caretaker 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #7 Charlie McCoy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Potomac 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Spectre Bond 8-1 5th


8th: Bay Ridge-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Small budget plays will understandably rely on Our Super Nova..

Most Likely: #5 Our Super Nova 4-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Lucky Move 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mrs. Orb 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Out of Orbit 6-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo, 1m

Feels like you'll need as many as you can afford in this hodge podge assembly..

Most Likely: #6 Yah Huh 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Icy Dude 8-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Drink to the Clown 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Ned 5-2 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 8-9 (A), 3-4-5 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
6: 3-8 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
7: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 4-5-6 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x1x6 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
"C" Backups: $99


P4 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 4-11 (B), 5 (C)
7: 3-7-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 4-5-6-8 (A), 2-3-7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2019 at 03:33 PM.
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  #2  
Old 12-29-2019, 09:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2019 at 12:08 PM.
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