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  #1  
Old 07-06-2019, 06:00 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
Default 7/6: Belmont (6th-11th); Delaware (7th-8th; X-C P5)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

2nd out 3yo Whiskey Echo is 20-1 and it's interesting that Asmussen ships here when Winchell/Horton Tiznow colt could have tested waters in softer regional 3yo events. Gets to stretch out at one turn and has been working noticeably faster than barn's runners typically do. Will have lead under hustling Santana and could very well forget to stop. Code of Honor horse to beat, though Shug certainly has sight set on bigger summer prizes. 5-1 on Mihos looks very attractive, though I think he'll vie for 2nd choice with Rowayton..

Best Value: #4 Whiskey Echo 20-1 6th
Most Likely: #3 Code of Honor 4-5 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #1 Mihos 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Rowayton 3-1 3rd


BELMONT 7th: Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD)

Have seen this movie before as Cafe Americano (12-1) looks primed to jump up at this big opportunity. Castellano a natural for her behind the pace style as he inherits mount from Irad who stays with Newspaperofrecord...

Best Value: #5 Cafe Americano 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Newspaperofrecord 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Olendon 9-2 8th
Super Add: #4 Concrete Rose 3-1 WON ($7.80)


DELAWARE 7th: Delaware Oaks (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fashion Faux Pas 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Jaywalk 6-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Avalina 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Ujjayi 12-1 3rd


DELAWARE 8th: Robert Dick Mem. (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gaining 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Gentle Ruler 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #1 Theodora B. 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Lemon Zip Late SCR


8th: John Nerud (G2), 3+, 7f (G/S, P4, P3, DD)

Promises Fulfilled looks like controlling speed after having to attend :44-ish paces in deep G1's..

Most Likely: #9 Promises Fulfilled 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Nicodemus 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Warrior's Club 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bon Raison 15-1 5th


BELMONT 9th: Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P3, DD)

Crazily fun group of 14 with intrigue added with 3 of the 4 Chad Brown players (#12 Demarchelier, #13 Digital Age, #14 Rockemperor) drawing wide. Trips will obviously make all the difference in this bulky field, so forward-going types that won't have to negotiate too much traffic might deserve preference..

Most Likely: #13 Digital Age 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 English Bee 30-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Cape of Good Hope 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Spinoff 15-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Plus Que Parfait 15-1 6th


BELMONT 10th: Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f (DD)

Rachel Alexandra half brother Wooderson, 2/2 as a 4yo, gets chance at a coming out party here as controlling speed under Johnny who is 3/2-1-0 when paired with him. 12-1 on the line and we should get it..

Best Value: #7 Wooderson 12-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Catholic Boy 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Preservationist 5-1 WON ($9.90)
Super Add: #4 Marconi 6-1 7th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 1-2-5 (A), 4-6-9 (B), - (C)
DEL 7: 4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
DEL 8: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)
BEL 9: 4-9-10-13 (A), 2-3-5-12 (B), 1-14 (C)
BEL 10: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x1x8x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), 1-4 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), - (B), 3-4-6 (C)
9: 4-13 (A), 9-10 (B), 2-3-5-12 (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 =36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5 (A), 1-4 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), 4 (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 2-4-5-9-10-13 (A), - (B), 1-3-12-14 (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x6x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #2 Ledecka 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Five Alarm Robin 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Windward Sands 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Skyhawk 8-1 8th


P4 Grid:

8: 9 (A), 4 (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 4-9-10-13 (A), 2-3-5-12 (B), 1-14 (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)
11: 2-8-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x8x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-06-2019 at 07:30 PM.
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  #2  
Old 07-06-2019, 09:50 AM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
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Default steve

youe xc bet
in delaware 7th, looks like your using 3 as your [a] horse with no [b.s]
but on top ,you have the 3 listed 3rd inyour preference,you have 4 then 5 then 3 is this a typo/
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  #3  
Old 07-06-2019, 11:07 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
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DEL SCR/CHG'S

BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 07-06-2019, 11:27 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
youe xc bet
in delaware 7th, looks like your using 3 as your [a] horse with no [b.s]
but on top ,you have the 3 listed 3rd inyour preference,you have 4 then 5 then 3 is this a typo/
THX Tom.. Typo. It's the 4 (A) & the 3-5 (C). Good luck today..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 07-06-2019, 10:09 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
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We should have got together today Steve😃
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  #6  
Old 07-07-2019, 03:26 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,591
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
We should have got together today Steve😃
I'm guessing you had Henley's Joy then and that guaranteed you had a good day..

All I knew in there was to use as many as possible and 4, 6 & 8 wasn't enough for me to get to him..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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