Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-05-2019, 05:26 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 7/5: Belmont ($165k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$165k C/O starts here..

Lone start winning fave No Mo Promises returns for Santulli/Duarte after 20 month layoff and seems plenty vulnerable, but many of the contenders sport ugly 1-fer records (1/18 Elenzee, 1/17 No Regrets, 1/24 La Maquina Gris, etc.). 3/1-0-0 Gallant Bid (6-1) SCR'D drops from starter company for Linda Rice, but may not get pace to chase. 6/1-0-1 Phil Gleaves homebred Yes and Yes (8-1) returns to site of his promising debut win..

Most Likely: #2 No Mo Promises 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 No Regrets 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ellenzee 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: 6 Yes and Yes 8-1 3rd


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Happy Farm & Royal Asset look 1-2 from the break unless 7# bug Harkie gets aggressive with Swiping Dan SCR'D. Hard-hitting Bitumen turns back while first time for Jimmy Ryerson (22%) and his best races have come under a mile..

Most Likely: #1 Happy Farm 4-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #6 Bitumen 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Royal Asset 5-2 3rd


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1-f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Toughest event in the skein (as requested by Justin Dew) with new distance test for all involved save Monhegan who loped 11f last out. Pick (as many as you can afford) and pray..

Most Likely: #7 Romantic Interest 5-2 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #5 Monhegan 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Giulla Ammannati 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Bacchanalia 4-1 4th


7th: River Memories, 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

SCR ML favorite Gaining who runs in the G3 Dick at DEL Saturday and Dickinson on pair (Theodora B & Pamina) too..

Best Value: #12 Sky Full of Stars 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Semper Sententiae 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Fools Gold 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Scottish Jig 4-1 3rd


8th: Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Brill & Cookie Dough get back to sprinting, but Royal Charlotte has tactical speed and I'd trust Castellano to place her appropriately from the outset..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Charlotte 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Brill 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sue's Fortune 7-5 DNF/Eased


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #5 Moyne Spun 7-2 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #1 Molly's Nighthawk 9-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Pretty Spectacular 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Fika 6-1 6th


P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), 4 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x1x2x3x1x3 = 18 x $2 = $36

$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $34.60 (5OF6)
$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $2,038.00 (6OF6)
(C-A-A-A-A-A)


P5 Grid:

5: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A's Paid $219.25


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A's Paid $112.50


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 07-05-2019 at 05:42 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-05-2019, 09:36 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default

BEL SCR'S

1st: 4-6
2nd: 1-7-8-10
3rd: 2
4th: 3-10
5th: 5
7th: 1-3-6-8-9-11-13
9th: 2-9-15
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-05-2019, 11:13 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default

SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 07-05-2019, 04:35 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,790
Default

Looked like something happened to Brill....hope she's okay
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 07-05-2019, 05:01 PM
Hoofnhay Hoofnhay is offline
Sam Houston
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 10
Default

Great capping today, Steve!!!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 07-05-2019, 05:15 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,206
Default

Hope you had a great 4th!

Congrats and thanks as always. Impressive display today.

Can't wait for Saratoga this summer
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 07-05-2019, 07:31 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default

HnH, Larry..

Thanks guys. Hope everyone got something. Glad the P4/P5 budget plays worked out.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 07-05-2019, 08:14 PM
ninetoone's Avatar
ninetoone ninetoone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: VA, USA
Posts: 2,276
Default

I admittedly don't play a lot of Pick 6's...but today's payout got my attention. 2K for all runners under 4-1? Seems really generous. Congratulations on everyone who had it...and nice capping as always Steve! Might be time for me to move to the next chapter of my betting life. I don't like rushing into anything...LOL!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 07-05-2019, 09:50 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,436
Default

Well done Steve.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 07-06-2019, 09:25 PM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,449
Default

Great work, Steve
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:23 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.