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  #101  
Old 08-30-2012, 11:29 PM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
Jacob's Lighthouse (off at 30-1) actually finished 2nd in a scratched decimated field where the show wagering was cancelled. A 10 horse race scratched down to 5.

CJ Cherokee finished 3rd at 50-1 in a 9 horse field.

Hearts Don't Lie (40-1) just got a nice ground saving trip by Wilfredo Arroyo. Finished 5th, but was maybe only 4 lengths off the winner.

Doug, I think like you said, the hardest part has to be doing this 24 hours in advance, pre-scratches.
The record right now is 281 starts 0 wins 3 seconds 2 thirds and 3 fourths.

Yeah -- CJ Cherokee may have finished 3rd -- but she was beaten 15 lengths and never tried to win ... just grinded past the quitters.

Like you said, half of the field scratched at Arlington. You're left with 5 horses and one of the bums finishes 2nd in what became a real weak race.

One of the horses at Monmouth went off at 15/1 odds and got buried.

This is trickier to do than people think. Rock Hard Ten told me he was absolutely sure he could beat 100 straight morning line favorites -- he quit after just three -- two of them won and the other finished 2nd.

281 down, only 719 more to go.
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  #102  
Old 08-31-2012, 01:30 AM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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Today's bums lost another $19,378 to bring the grand total up to $315,253. Out of the 281 that have run so far, really only one (the one that ran 2nd at Saratoga a week or so ago) has been any kind of real threat to win.
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  #103  
Old 08-31-2012, 06:49 AM
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Bums for Friday:

Arlington Park Race #2: Secret Glitter

Arlington Park Race #6: Spirit of a Nation

Canterbury Race #9: Sir Gallient Vee

Calder Race #6: One Helluva Ride

Charles Town Race #2: Sharpie's Son

Charles Town Race #3: Affair Arrangement

Del Mar Race #7: White Star Line

Ellis Park Race #2: Mr Gues

Evangeline Downs Race #10: Halo's Jubilee

Hoosier Race #3: Zealously

Hoosier Race #6: Could Be Michael

Hoosier Race #8: Search the Lou

Monmouth Race #3: Hav'n a Fog Attack

Penn National Race #3: Scooter Tax

Presque Isle Downs Race #1: Dispute Forgotten

Presque Isle Downs Race #7: Velvet Dancer

Portland Meadows Race #5: Jazzoomin

Portland Meadows Race #6: Lil Boy

Parx Race #2: Wild and Away

Saratoga Race #1: Lemon Song

Saratoga Race #6: Winning Gold

Saratoga Race #7: Burned Bridges

Thistle Downs Race #6: Autumn Fling and Unique Indygo

Thistle Downs Race #7: Hofre Doll

Woodbine Race #4: Bare Humor
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  #104  
Old 08-31-2012, 02:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Rock Hard Ten told me he was absolutely sure he could beat 100 straight morning line favorites -- he quit after just three -- two of them won and the other finished 2nd.
It always strikes me as odd that stories like this about him can be so completely unsurprising....and yet are somehow still funny every time.
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  #105  
Old 08-31-2012, 09:45 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Bums for Friday:

Arlington Park Race #2: Secret Glitter

Arlington Park Race #6: Spirit of a Nation

Canterbury Race #9: Sir Gallient Vee

Calder Race #6: One Helluva Ride

Charles Town Race #2: Sharpie's Son

Charles Town Race #3: Affair Arrangement

Del Mar Race #7: White Star Line

Ellis Park Race #2: Mr Gues

Evangeline Downs Race #10: Halo's Jubilee

Hoosier Race #3: Zealously

Hoosier Race #6: Could Be Michael

Hoosier Race #8: Search the Lou

Monmouth Race #3: Hav'n a Fog Attack

Penn National Race #3: Scooter Tax

Presque Isle Downs Race #1: Dispute Forgotten

Presque Isle Downs Race #7: Velvet Dancer

Portland Meadows Race #5: Jazzoomin

Portland Meadows Race #6: Lil Boy

Parx Race #2: Wild and Away

Saratoga Race #1: Lemon Song

Saratoga Race #6: Winning Gold

Saratoga Race #7: Burned Bridges

Thistle Downs Race #6: Autumn Fling and Unique Indygo

Thistle Downs Race #7: Hofre Doll

Woodbine Race #4: Bare Humor
Doug, I think your 3 Hoosier Picks must be from a different day?
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  #106  
Old 08-31-2012, 09:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
Doug, I think your 3 Hoosier Picks must be from a different day?
They all ran today.

Zealousy finished 9th in the 3rd race. Could Be Micheal finished 6th in the 6th race. And Seach The Lou Finished 9th in the 9th race.
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  #107  
Old 08-31-2012, 10:09 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
They all ran today.

Zealousy finished 9th in the 3rd race. Could Be Micheal finished 6th in the 6th race. And Seach The Lou Finished 9th in the 9th race.
I see that now. My ADW was showing some screwy results earlier from Hoosier.
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  #108  
Old 08-31-2012, 11:05 PM
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23 of them ran -- and they all got dusted.

304 down, only 696 more to go.
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  #109  
Old 09-01-2012, 03:08 AM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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The bums managed to lose another new car today, or $23,982, to bring the grand total to $339,235.

Just for the record both Autumn Fling and Lemon Song managed distant thirds in short 5-horse fields, where they were beaten 15 and 26 lengths respectively.
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  #110  
Old 09-01-2012, 05:52 AM
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Bums for Saturday:

Albuquerque Race #10: Tehuantepecer

Canterbury Race #3: Gold Territory

Canterbury Race #9: Chicken Juice and Pumpkin Seed

Columbus Race #8: Save the Farm

Calder Race #12: Her Private Life

Delaware Park Race #4: Dubai's Debut

Del Mar Race #1: Hip

Del Mar Race #2: Harlan's Trick

Ellis Park Race #2: Myland

Ellis Park Race #7: Big Reds Lil Flyer

Evangeline Race #8: Bekos Shot and Cajun Luke

Finger Lakes Race #9: First Dine

Golden Gate Race #3: Smiles Contagious

Hoosier Race #1: Great Sky Dancer

Hoosier Race #8: Snowy Ride

Louisiana Downs Race #5: Miss Aranza

Mountaineer Race #9: Seven Tigers

Monmouth Race #1: Front View

Penn National Race #2: Gambine Road

Penn National Race #3: City Sky

Penn National Race #8: Tri's Hero

Ruidoso Race #6: Real Mcgee

Ruidoso Race #10: Big Spirited John

Saratoga Race #3: Joker Jack

Saratoga Race #7: Page Mckenney

Saratoga Race #12: Rachini

Suffolk Race #7: Gator Champ

Thistle Downs Race #4: Sunday Reward

Thistle Downs Race #7: Mind the Law

Timonioum Race #2: Newyorklover

Timonioum Race #6: Lacrosse Moon

Timonioum Race #8: Heir Tothe Kingdom

Woodbine Race #1: Ocala Dawn

Woodbine Race #5: Twilight Shadow
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  #111  
Old 09-01-2012, 12:46 PM
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I am now cross-checking my daily plays against your list to make sure none of mine are on there. So far, so good!

I still don't know how (or why) you do this. Can you make money with your "picks" on an exchange-betting site (if any exist)?
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  #112  
Old 09-01-2012, 10:26 PM
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Some of them went off at shockingly low odds today.

One went off at 9/1 odds -- finished last beaten 30+ lengths.

One went off at 13/1 odds -- last beaten 30+ lengths.

One went off at 14/1 odds -- last beaten 17 lengths going just 4 furlongs.

One went off at 20/1 odds -- last beaten 75.5 lengths according to the result chart.
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  #113  
Old 09-01-2012, 11:37 PM
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Great thread , Love it !!!! And yes Doug, CJ's Figs are the best in the Biz, was there from the inception. Keep going
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  #114  
Old 09-02-2012, 03:52 AM
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334 down, only 666 more to go.
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  #115  
Old 09-02-2012, 04:25 AM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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The website I use to calculate the pools is down, but from what I saw earlier I estimate that the bums lost about $23,000 today which would bring the grand total to $362,235.

I'm curious if your friend whose comment about it being harder to pick 1000 losers than 10 winners is aware of this thread and if so, what do they think of it?
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  #116  
Old 09-02-2012, 05:42 AM
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I showed him it. He can't believe I haven't tripped up yet.

He's bet a few people they couldn't pick one loser in each race at PID for a week. PID has just five cards of 8 races in a week -- so, just 40 races a week.

He says both people who took him up lost. He won't make the bet on that with me, though.


Bums for Sunday:

Arlington Race #2: Howard Who

Canterbury Race #7: Caring Karen

Canterbury Race #11: Big Willo and Dame Steely

Del Mar Race #8: Miss Denny

Fort Erie Race #1: Chief No Tell

Louisiana Downs Race #9: Kaki Cain

Mountaineer Race #3: Ifpushcomestoshove

Portland Meadows Race #5: Midnitesruntoglory and Mining For Crystal

Portland Meadows Race #7: Regal Vixen and Red Ball Express

Ruidoso Race #5: Pretty Eliza Jane

Ruidoso Race #8: Bad Bad Leroy Who

Saratoga Race #3: Irish Etiquette

Saratoga Race #4: Praetorian Guard

Saratoga Race #11: House On Toilsome and Style Watch

Timonioum Race #3: April Pride and Spring Dragon
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  #117  
Old 09-02-2012, 07:36 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
I showed him it. He can't believe I haven't tripped up yet.

He's bet a few people they couldn't pick one loser in each race at PID for a week. PID has just five cards of 8 races in a week -- so, just 40 races a week.

He says both people who took him up lost. He won't make the bet on that with me, though.


Bums for Sunday:

Arlington Race #2: Howard Who

Canterbury Race #7: Caring Karen

Canterbury Race #11: Big Willo and Dame Steely

Del Mar Race #8: Miss Denny

Fort Erie Race #1: Chief No Tell

Louisiana Downs Race #9: Kaki Cain

Mountaineer Race #3: Ifpushcomestoshove

Portland Meadows Race #5: Midnitesruntoglory and Mining For Crystal

Portland Meadows Race #7: Regal Vixen and Red Ball Express

Ruidoso Race #5: Pretty Eliza Jane

Ruidoso Race #8: Bad Bad Leroy Who

Saratoga Race #3: Irish Etiquette

Saratoga Race #4: Praetorian Guard

Saratoga Race #11: House On Toilsome and Style Watch

Timonioum Race #3: April Pride and Spring Dragon

A few scratches. 4 of your horses ran 4th. 2 of those were in 8 horse fields, 1 was in a 7 horse field and the other was in a 4 horse field.
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  #118  
Old 09-02-2012, 10:39 PM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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A few scratches. 4 of your horses ran 4th.
Yes, one of the horses who ran 4th (and last because it was a 4 horse field) went off at 5/1 odds -- he was beaten 13 lengths.
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  #119  
Old 09-02-2012, 10:42 PM
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352 down, only 648 more to go.
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  #120  
Old 09-03-2012, 02:13 AM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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Today's bums managed to lose a solid $26,863 bringing the grand total so far to $389,098.
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