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Old 10-10-2020, 05:13 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 10/10: Belmont Park (Empire 6 Force Out; X-C Pick 5)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


Hearts are with the families and friends of Barry Abrams and Paul Pompa Jr. who both passed away overnight.. The sport and the world are greatly diminished without them..


4th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair obviously stand out, but Midnight Bourbon keeps improving and will be ready to pounce if they falter..

Best Value: #5 Reinvestment Risk 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Jackie's Warrior 3-5 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Midnight Bourbon 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Civil War 30-1 4th


5th: Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Deeper cast of juvies led by the Spinaway (Vequist) and Schuylerville (Dayoutoftheoffice) winners..

Best Value: #5 Dayoutoftheoffice 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #1 Vequist 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Cantata 9-5 5th
Super Add: #4 Joy's Rocket 5-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Empire 6 Force Out Starts Here..

Has the look of a very good group with many well bred firsters working sharp towards debuts. Lone experienced runner Newbomb is a clear favorite for TPletch (who also has $1MM Curlin/Got Lucky colt Overtook), but note that he is cross-entered in tomorrow's Futurity..

Most Likely: #3 Newbomb 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Nova Rags 8-1 WON ($21.60)
Next Best: #7 Weyburn 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jailbreaker 30-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Two have run (#1 Cracker Box Palace/#4 Hardison) and among the firsters, Clement-5 Big Everest/Brown-7 Connagh's Quay/Pletcher-12 Spirit Maker babies look most appealing..

Best Value: #7 Connagh's Quay 9-2 11th
Next Best: #5 Big Everest 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Hardison 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #12 Spirit Maker Late SCR


P4 Grid:

4: 4-5 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
5: 1-2-5 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
6: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-6-8 (C)
7: 5-7 (A), 4-12/SCR (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $39 (1x3x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 + 2x3x5x2 = 60 x .50 = $30)


MONMOUTH 8th: Monmouth S. (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mr. Alec 5-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Almanaar 8-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Megacity 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Serve the King 7-2 2nd


BELMONT 8th: Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 La Signare 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Cambier Parc 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Nay Lady Nay 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Civil Union 3-1 WON ($8.10)


KEENELAND 8th: Fayette (G2), 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Mr Freeze 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #5 Title Ready 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Aurelius Maximus 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Crafty Daddy 5-1 6th


9th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tacitus 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Happy Saver 2-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Prioritize 4-1 4th


BELMONT 10th: Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tamahere 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #5 Miss J McKay 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Selflessly 2-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Giacosa 15-1 6th


KEENELAND 9th: Queen Elizabeth II Cup (G1), 3yo-F,

Most Likely: #4 Magic Attitude 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Hendy Woods 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Harvey's Lil Goil 3-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #8 California Kook 12-1 5th


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

MTH 8th: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
BEL 8th: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 8th: 5-6 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
BEL 10th: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
KEE 9th: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $36 ~ 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 + 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


11th: NY_MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Inner

Murky bunch..

Most Likely: #10 Amity Island 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 The Promised Road 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Herald Angel 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #11 Violentiam 4-1 2nd


Empire P6 Grid:

6: 3-5-7
7: 5-7
8: 1-4-6
9: 1-2-3-4-5
10: 1-5
11: 2-7-10

Simple: 3x2x3x5x2x3 = 540 x .20 = $108


P5 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), 4-12 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
11: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x1x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27


P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 2-3-4 (B), - (C)
11: 2-7-10 (A), 11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-11-2020 at 04:43 AM.
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  #2  
Old 10-10-2020, 11:52 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
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KEE SCR/CHG'S

TAX out of Fayette; LUCKY BETTY & ANTOINETTE out of QEII
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 10-10-2020, 01:47 PM
Hoofnhay Hoofnhay is offline
Sam Houston
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 10
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Steve, in BEL 7, #12 Spirit Maker is scratched. You have the #12 in your multi's.
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