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Old 10-16-2020, 07:50 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 10/17: Keeneland/Belmont (X-C P5)

KEENELAND/BELMONT ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


KEENELAND 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Pedigrees on parade in a 7f MSW that isn't an easy way to start the Cross Country.. Midnight Bisou half Wicked Bisou debuts for Amoss; Harty gives Vexatious/Creative Cause sister Hippie Cowgirl a try on dirt; Team Asmussen/Lieblong unveil Willful Woman, a Nyquist daughter out of Foxy Danseur; Wilkes and The Cauleys bring back Three Tipsy Chix, On Fire Baby's Md'O miss. As if the race wasn't tricky enough, note the weirdo invasion of Mia at Midnight (30-1) from Woodbine where she has worked sharply on the dirt training track. Exits the debut race (at this trip) that produced Souper Sensational & Speightstown Shirl. McDonald has come to KEE and won before (. They run for real money at WO after all, so why come here unless you thought she had a real chance to impact on the switch to dirt?

Most Likely: #11 Thinking 9-2 ($10.00)
Next Best: #10 Wicked Bisou 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Mia at Mischief 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Bel Fiore 12-1 6th


BELMONT 9th: Floral Park, F&M-3+, 6f-Inner Turf (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Lead Guitar 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #9 Rose Flower 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 My Sassy Sarah 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Illhandelthecash 10-1 3rd


KEENELAND 8th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Ritzy A.P. 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Dontblamerocket Late SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Midnight Tea Time 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Corelli 5-1 7th


BELMONT 10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f

Best Value: #10 Jc's Shooting Star 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Good Credence 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Jewel of Arabia 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Playtone 10-1 2nd


KEENELAND 9th: Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

There's an awful of pace-interested parties here. Feels like presser-closer is the style you're looking for..

Best Value: #6 Reagan's Edge 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Finite 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Four Graces 5-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Venetian Harbor 7-5 WON ($5.20)


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

KEE 7: 10-11 (A), 5-6-7 (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 8-9 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
KEE 8: 1-2/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 10: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 9: 4-6 (A), 2-5-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x2x5 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $16 (2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 + 2x2x2x2x1 = 16 x .50 = $8)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-17-2020 at 04:37 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-17-2020, 11:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default

BEL SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 10-17-2020, 12:07 PM
Sethcarter Sethcarter is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,068
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Thanks Steve... good luck today. Keeland card looks very wide open.
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