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  #1  
Old 02-06-2019, 09:19 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Default 2/8-10 (CD): Kentucky Derby Future Wager ~ Pool 2

KENTUCKY DERBY 145 FUTURE WAGER

No. Horse Morning Line

1. Bourbon War 50-1
2. Coliseum 15-1
3. Game Winner 6-1
4. Global Campaign 50-1
5. Gray Attempt 50-1
6. Gunmetal Gray 20-1

7. Harvey Wallbanger 20-1
8. Hidden Scroll 12-1
9. Improbable 8-1
10. Instagrand 10-1
11. Knicks Go 30-1
12. Limonite 50-1

13. Maximus Mischief 20-1
14. Mucho Gusto 15-1
15. Network Effect 30-1
16. Owendale 50-1
17. Signalman 20-1
18. Tacitus 50-1

19. Tax 20-1
20. Vekoma 30-1
21. Walking Thunder 50-1
22. War of Will 30-1
23. Win Win Win 30-1
24. Mutuel Field/All Others 5-2

Betting closes at 6pm EST on Sunday.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

Last edited by Kasept : 02-06-2019 at 09:57 PM.
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  #2  
Old 02-06-2019, 09:48 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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15:1 on Coliseum?

I'll take the over for a million.
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  #3  
Old 02-07-2019, 06:36 AM
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Interested to see where the odds end up for Hidden Scroll (currently 12/1) and Mucho Gusto (currently 15/1).
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  #4  
Old 02-07-2019, 06:51 AM
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Walking Thunder runs today in 3rd today at Meydan.
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  #5  
Old 02-07-2019, 09:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Walking Thunder runs today in 3rd today at Meydan.
Finished 2nd but was dusted. Went off 1-5
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  #6  
Old 02-07-2019, 10:41 AM
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ONTHERAIL ONTHERAIL is offline
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Get Instagrand now. Gonna be fav after this weekend
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  #7  
Old 02-07-2019, 07:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ONTHERAIL View Post
Get Instagrand now. Gonna be fav after this weekend
When is he even running next?
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  #8  
Old 02-07-2019, 09:09 PM
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ONTHERAIL ONTHERAIL is offline
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Jeez am I behind..lol! I thought he was solid for the SV and felt pretty confident he would roll that field..I get they want to move him along slowly but now they must be looking at a confidence building allowance and then off to SA Derby..Not so confident now u gotta get him in race shape..Said he’s gonna work him faster now but that ain’t racing. This things wide open!
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  #9  
Old 02-08-2019, 07:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ONTHERAIL View Post
Jeez am I behind..lol! I thought he was solid for the SV and felt pretty confident he would roll that field..I get they want to move him along slowly but now they must be looking at a confidence building allowance and then off to SA Derby..Not so confident now u gotta get him in race shape..Said he’s gonna work him faster now but that ain’t racing. This things wide open!
I hear ya. It seems like a few of these horses are being brought along quite slowly.

I keep waiting for Vekoma to run again.
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  #10  
Old 02-08-2019, 07:22 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
When is he even running next?
He's scheduled to run Sunday at SA in the San Vicente.
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  #11  
Old 02-08-2019, 11:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
He's scheduled to run Sunday at SA in the San Vicente.
I read somewhere that they signed him up for it but he won’t run in the SV.
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  #12  
Old 02-09-2019, 12:58 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
15:1 on Coliseum?

I'll take the over for a million.
Careful, someone could take you up on that, then bet $50K on Coliseum in the last few seconds and have a sweet arbitrage!
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #13  
Old 02-11-2019, 12:08 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Here's a link to the final win odds and will-pays:

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload...dds-Pool-2.pdf
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #14  
Old 02-11-2019, 09:55 AM
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And here's a link to the "$2 Exacta Probables", which are, in fact, the 'odds-to-1'. So, the figures in the table are roughly half the actual $2 exacta payoffs.

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload...-Probables.pdf

I noticed the error because (1) I had copied the exacta table during the live betting, and the final figures are all about half the live figures, and (2) some of the supposed $2 payoffs end in 10-cent amounts.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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