10/26: Belmont (5th-10th); Keeneland (8th-9th; X-C P5)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK (KEENELAND 8th/9th; X-C P5)


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: English Channel, 3yo, 1m-T (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Front Run the Fed 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Call Me Harry 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Bourbon War 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Halladay 6-1 3rd


6th: MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With 'Stare Decisis' it appears that Seth Klarman has added legal definitions to his usual financial term naming repertoire. Meanwhile, Joe Allen's Hail Michigan (12-1) hales from a famous turf family that includes 2nd dam My Annette (Red Ransom), a sister of Dynaformer who dropped U S Ranger and Homesman. Tagg has weak first turf numbers, but reaches for Johnny V here and expect good effort against mixed bag field..

Best Value: #5 Hail Michigan 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Stare Decisis 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Tiberius Mercurius 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bail Out 10-1 5th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Contentious start to the X-C P5 and late P4 where more than half the field (1-2e-4-7-9-10-11) looks possible..

Most Likely: #10 Fierce Scarlett 9-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Makeme Dream 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Magic Star 6-5 6th
Exotics Use: #2e Villa Ownership Entry 5-1 2nd/5th


8th: Bold Ruler (G3), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Return of Maximum Security, but he didn't find a field of tomato cans here. Prince Lucky, True Timber, Diamond King, Tale of Silence all within reach of the favorite, but it's hard-hitting Killybegs Captain (6-1) that intrigues sitting behind the speed for a stalk and pounce trip..

Best Value: #6 Killybegs Captain 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Maximum Security 1-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Prince Lucky 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Tale of Silence 15-1 2nd


KEENELAND 8th: ALW, N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Holly Blame 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Dizzy Sight 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Duplicator 12-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Off the Record 3-1 9th


9th: Awad, 2yo, 1m-T (DD)

Very nice Juvenile Turf consolation stake for the boys that didn't go to California. WIDE OPEN..

Best Value: #4 Pixelate 15-1: Steady improver faced several nice ones en route to MDN win.. 2nd
Next Best: #9 Buy Land and See 9-2: Spa debut came in good group; Stepped up in start #2.. WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #5 Talking 8-1: Beaten a handful by Decorated Invader who can win BC J-Turf.. 5th
Super Add: #8 Get Smokin 9-2: Tactical-looking Get Stormy gelding for Tom Bush.. 10th


KEENELAND 9th: Fayette (G2), 3+, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

As long as they continue to overlook Mocito Rojo at the windows or respect him on the line (6-1), I'll keep going to him. Wet shouldn't be an issue either, though that's true of most of the major players..

Best Value: #5 Mocito Rojo 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Bal Harbour 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tom's d'Etat 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #2 Mr Freeze 7-2 2nd


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-9 (C)
BEL 8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
KEE 8: 1-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
KEE 9: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Best Value: #6 Dancingwithdaffodils 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ailish 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 A Little Faith 7-2 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #4 Native Dawn 12-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 4-6-10 (C)
7: 2-4-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-8 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x4x2x2x1 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
8: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-8 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 5-8 (B), (C)
10: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

[ninetoone]

Nice exacta in the Awad!

Big overlay on Pixelate...35-1!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

Nice exacta in the Awad!

Big overlay on Pixelate...35-1!

Thank god.. Salvaged the day. Jeebus. Got next to nothing right.