Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-13-2021, 06:17 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,544
Default 2/13: Fair Grounds (7th-13th)

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES





7th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Just Might 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Extravagant Kid 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Manny Wah 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Bango 12-1 5th


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Strong group auditioning for LA Derby slot including Asmussen's Defeater who considered the Risen Star but runs here in 2nd start. Turfy Risk Manager gets chance on main track and can impact if dirt a fit. With 5 stretchout entrants involved, pace has to be honest at the least..

Most Likely: #8 Gagetown 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 Big Lake 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #11 Regular Guy 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Defeater 6-1 2nd


9th: Big Al Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dalika 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #9 Secret Message 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Pass the Plate 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Room to Finish 8-1 8th


10th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Maxfield 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Dinar 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Enforceable 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Wells Bayou 6-1 SCR


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 8-10 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)
9: 3-7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 1-2/SCR-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x1 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 3x2x2x2 = 54 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/10/7/2,4) Paid $76.55 (A-A-A-A)


11th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Factor This 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Spectacular Gem 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Dontblamerocket 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Set Piece 10-1 4th


12th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Not a lot of pace here, so expect aggressive Geroux to be forward with fresh Travel Column..

Best Value: #6 Zoom Up 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Travel Column 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Clairiere 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #2 Souper Sensational 8-1 6th


13th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f

Prices reflect revised ML. I don't think Senor Buscador is getting beat any time soon..

Best Value: #5 SENOR BUSCADOR 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Midnight Bourbon 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Mandoulin 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #1 Starrininmtydreams 12-1 9th


P5 Grid:

9: 3-7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
11: 2-7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
13: 5 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x1x4x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $24 (1-5) + $24 (6-11)


P4 Grid:

10: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
11: 2-7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
13: 5 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x1 = $16
All A's: 1x4x2x1 = $8
Backups: $8 (1-5) + $8 (6-11)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 02-13-2021 at 06:40 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-13-2021, 08:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,544
Default

FG Track Condition
Main Track - GOOD
Turf - SOFT - Races 5 & 7 OFF, Races 9 & 11 ON
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-13-2021, 10:07 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,544
Default

FG SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:43 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.