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  #1  
Old 05-30-2020, 04:54 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 5/30: Churchill Downs (6th-11th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Tabled 6-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Tiesto 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Buy Me Candy 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Strong Tide 30-1 5th


7th: Winning Colors (G3), F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mia Mischief 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Princess Causeway 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Break Even 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bell's the One 15-1 WON ($28.20)


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Ashiham 8-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Mau Mau 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Aztec Empire 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 What a Country 10-1 WON ($36.80)


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Hidden Facts 4-1 6th-DQ'd from 2nd
Best Value: #10 Whimsical Muse 10-1 WON ($52.00)
Next Best: #6 Bingwa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Dixieincandyland 9-2 4th


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fearless 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #10 Gun It 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Top Seed 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Twelfth Labour 20-1 8th


11th: Mint Julep (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Juliet Foxtrot 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Secret Message 8-1 WON ($53.40)
Best Value: #9 Varenka 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #2 Beau Recall 4-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Nay Lady Nay 4-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 10-13 (A), 6 (B), 5-11 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-11 (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
C Backups: 24 (With 1-5: 1x2x2x3x4) + 16 (With 3-9: 1x2x2x2x4) + 18 (With 6: 1x2x2x3x3) = $58


P4 Grid:

8: 3-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 10-13 (A), 6 (B), 5-11 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-11 (C)

All A's: 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
C Backups: 24 (With 5-11: 2x2x3x4) + 16 (With 3-9: 2x2x2x4) + 18 (With 6: 2x2x3x3) = $58

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/10/7/7) Paid $4,756.10


Understanding the C Backup plays:

8: No C's
9: 5-11 (Play: AxCxAxA ~ 3-9/5-11/7-8-10/1-2-7-9) $24
10: 3-9 (Play: AxAxCxA ~ 3-9/10-13/3-9/1-2-7-9) $16
11: 3-6-11 (Play: AxAxAxC ~ 3-9/10-13/7-8-10/3-6-11) $18


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-30-2020 at 05:43 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-30-2020, 10:41 AM
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mm1019 mm1019 is offline
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Quote:
11th: Mint Julep (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Juliet Foxtrot 5-2
Next Best: #7 Secret Message 8-1
Best Value: #9 Varenka 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Beau Recall 4-1
Super/Hi-5: #6 Nay Lady Nay 4-1
If I can get anything close to 12-1 on Varenka in the Night cap I'll be Firing a Clip...
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  #3  
Old 05-30-2020, 10:49 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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CD SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 05-30-2020, 11:57 AM
Sethcarter Sethcarter is offline
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Church hill
Race 1 pk3
7/all/1,4,5,6,10,12

20 win 7
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  #5  
Old 05-30-2020, 12:00 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mm1019 View Post
If I can get anything close to 12-1 on Varenka in the Night cap I'll be Firing a Clip...
That’s the betting race of the day. Bombs away. I have 8 on my ticket and still don’t feel good. Looking at 11 at big odds. GL
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  #6  
Old 05-30-2020, 12:01 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Originally Posted by Sethcarter View Post
Church hill
Race 1 pk3
7/all/1,4,5,6,10,12
I’ll start a betting post
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  #7  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:30 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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SWEET Pick 4 Steve
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  #8  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:33 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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BOOM BOOM BOOM goes the Dynamite!!!

What a day. Congrats and thanks as always!!
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  #9  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:34 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
SWEET Pick 4 Steve
Shoulda paid 4 times what it paid. Great job .
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  #10  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:37 PM
myke myke is offline
Les Bois
 
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Default missed by one

Steve,

Thanks for your exceptional handicapping .

if you look up stupid in the dictionary you'll see a picture of me.....i only used the a's in race 8.....wonderful
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  #11  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:39 PM
Jackson Jackson is offline
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Thumbs up

Great Handicapping, Steve.
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  #12  
Old 05-30-2020, 05:55 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default super steve

fantastic job rode ur coatails in both pk 4 an 5 thank you so much
you and mrs steve have hot dogs on me,,just give me day in advance as to when your going great handicapping
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  #13  
Old 05-30-2020, 06:03 PM
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mm1019 mm1019 is offline
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Great Job Steve...I thought I was smarter than you LOL and left the 6 off my ticket in the first leg of the pk 4...
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  #14  
Old 05-30-2020, 06:20 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
SWEET Pick 4 Steve
THX Jim.. Got some to run today.

Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
BOOM BOOM BOOM goes the Dynamite!!!

What a day. Congrats and thanks as always!!
Thanks Larry! Hope you did great..

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Shoulda paid 4 times what it paid. Great job .
THX Dan.. Hope you and many benefited.

Quote:
Originally Posted by UncleBenelli View Post
Damn Nice! Excellent Steve
THX Unc! Fun afternoon.

Quote:
Originally Posted by myke View Post
Steve,

Thanks for your exceptional handicapping .

if you look up stupid in the dictionary you'll see a picture of me.....i only used the a's in race 8.....wonderful
Thanks Myke.. Sounds like you got something anyway. Thought Red Dog (What a Country) was key to the sequence. He races horses into shape so those efforts that looked ordinary were actually OK.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackson View Post
Great Handicapping, Steve.
THX Jax!

Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
fantastic job rode ur coatails in both pk 4 an 5 thank you so much
you and mrs steve have hot dogs on me,,just give me day in advance as to when your going great handicapping
Tom.. Thank you. Thrilled to hear you came along!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-31-2020 at 06:06 AM.
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  #15  
Old 05-30-2020, 06:27 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Nice work Steve. I cheaped out on first leg and cost me. Congrats
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  #16  
Old 05-30-2020, 06:28 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mm1019 View Post
Great Job Steve...I thought I was smarter than you LOL and left the 6 off my ticket in the first leg of the pk 4...
Thanks, but sorry. What a Country was one of those borderline contenders that you need to use when you can. Next time!

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Nice work Steve. I cheaped out on first leg and cost me. Congrats
THX, but ugh.. See above.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-30-2020 at 06:46 PM.
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  #17  
Old 05-31-2020, 05:27 AM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Excellent Job, Congrats Steve
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  #18  
Old 05-31-2020, 06:25 AM
kp319 kp319 is offline
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Creat work Steve! Thanks Kenny P
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  #19  
Old 05-31-2020, 07:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Excellent Job, Congrats Steve
Gus.. Thanks buddy. Really fun day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kp319 View Post
Creat work Steve! Thanks Kenny P
Kenny! THX. Sounds like you got some. Hope you guys are doing OK. Fingers crossed on seeing you (or anybody) at SAR this summer.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #20  
Old 05-31-2020, 08:01 AM
bahughes bahughes is offline
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Fantastic Job Steve!
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