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  #1  
Old 07-06-2019, 06:19 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
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Default jockeys on favorites

who do you think from the saratoga colony,is the best and worse jockey when on a favorite/

im dont have any stats,, but it seems to me watching the last month or so pretty much everyday,jose ortiz and javier castellano to me are automatic throw outs, am i right/ or are there others not so good?
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  #2  
Old 07-07-2019, 01:08 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
who do you think from the saratoga colony,is the best and worse jockey when on a favorite/

im dont have any stats,, but it seems to me watching the last month or so pretty much everyday,jose ortiz and javier castellano to me are automatic throw outs, am i right/ or are there others not so good?
I’ll get this for you next week before Opening day.
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  #3  
Old 07-07-2019, 02:53 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is online now
The Curragh
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
who do you think from the saratoga colony,is the best and worse jockey when on a favorite/

im dont have any stats,, but it seems to me watching the last month or so pretty much everyday,jose ortiz and javier castellano to me are automatic throw outs, am i right/ or are there others not so good?
Good luck betting against JC/Pletcher or JV/Pletcher, or for that matter Ortiz/Brown or JC/Brown. I suppose you can make some scores against those guys, but it’s a tough way to make a living.
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  #4  
Old 07-07-2019, 03:16 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default thanks jms

thank you very much in looking,
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  #5  
Old 07-08-2019, 03:54 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Here you go for 2018
Attached Files
File Type: txt JockeyFavoritesReport.txt (5.0 KB, 40 views)
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  #6  
Old 07-08-2019, 04:26 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Very interesting. Thx Jim
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  #7  
Old 07-08-2019, 08:15 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default unfortunitly i didnt understand it

but thank you for the effort, at my age 94 now,, dont seeem to understand what i did just lasst month
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  #8  
Old 07-09-2019, 08:01 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
but thank you for the effort, at my age 94 now,, dont seeem to understand what i did just lasst month
Maybe it was the formatting.

Code:
JockeyFavoritesReport
                                  All  Favorites       Odds-On Favorites  
       Jockey                  Mounts Wins  Win Pct  Mounts  Wins  Win Pct

Alvarado Junior                  17     7    41.18%     1      1   100.00%
Beschizza Adam                    2     0     0.00%     1      0     0.00%
Bravo Joe                        10     3    30.00%     2      0     0.00%
Cancel Eric                       4     1    25.00%     0      0     0.00%
Carmouche Kendrick               10     2    20.00%     0      0     0.00%
Castellano Javier                69    22    31.88%    14      7    50.00%
Cohen David                       5     2    40.00%     0      0     0.00%
Davis Dylan                       4     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Franco Manuel                    24     9    37.50%     6      3    50.00%
Gaffalione Tyler                  1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Garcia Julio A.                   1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Geroux Florent                    2     1    50.00%     2      1    50.00%
Hernandez, Jr. Brian Jose         1     1    100.00%    0      0     0.00%
Leparoux Julien R.                4     1    25.00%     0      0     0.00%
Lezcano Jose                     13     2    15.38%     1      0     0.00%
Luzzi Michael J.                  2     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Maragh Rajiv                      1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Maragh Romero Ramsay              1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
McCarthy William                  1     1   100.00%     1      1   100.00%
McDermott Sean                    1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Mitchell Michael                  2     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Nagle Darren                      2     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%
Ortiz Jose L.                    51    12    23.53%     8      4    50.00%
Ortiz, Jr. Irad                  74    25    33.78%    13      5    38.46%
Rosario Joel                     21     8    38.10%     2      1    50.00%
Saez Luis                        27     7    25.93%     2      1    50.00%
Santana, Jr. Ricardo             15     5    33.33%     2      2   100.00%
Smith Mike E.                     4     2    50.00%     1      1   100.00%
Velazquez John R.                38    12    31.58%     6      1    16.67%
Zayas Edgard J.                   1     0     0.00%     0      0     0.00%

Tuesday, July 9, 2019                                          Page 1 of 1
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  #9  
Old 07-09-2019, 01:46 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default now i understand it, thank you so much jms

so with that said,,if they say favorites win a 3rd of the time,, does it hold true that if a jock win a 3rd of the time on favorites,is that concidered good? if not, what would be concidered a good % for jockeys on favorites.?
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  #10  
Old 07-09-2019, 03:24 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
so with that said,,if they say favorites win a 3rd of the time,, does it hold true that if a jock win a 3rd of the time on favorites,is that concidered good? if not, what would be concidered a good % for jockeys on favorites.?
It would be Average... I would look at this as a way to identify favorites I want to leave off my ticket in the win slot.
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  #11  
Old 07-22-2019, 01:13 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Code:
 JockeyFavoritesReport 2019



    Jockey    All  Favorites Ridden                   Odds-On  Favorites Ridden

                  Mounts    Wins        Win Pct     Mounts    Wins        Win
                                                                     Pct

Alvarado Junior      5         0         0.00%         1     0          0.00%
Bravo Joe            1         0         0.00%         0     0          0.00%
Bridgmohan Shaun     1         1         100.00        0     0          0.00%                                                    
Carmouche Kendrick   2         1         50.00%        0     0          0.00%
Castellano Javier   12         3         25.00%        5     2         40.00%
Davis Dylan          1         0         0.00%         0     0          0.00%
Franco Manuel       10         2         20.00%        0     0          0.00%
Gaffalione Tyler     4         0         0.00%         0     0          0.00%
Geraghty Ross        1         0         0.00%         1     0          0.00%
Landeros Chris       2         2         100.00        0     0          0.00%                                                        
Leparoux Julien R.   1         0         0.00%         0     0          0.00%
Lezcano Jose         5         3         60.00%        2     1         50.00%
Ortiz Jose L.       10         4         40.00%        1     1         100.00%
Ortiz, Jr. Irad     11         4         36.36%        1     1         100.00%
Rosario Joel         9         3         33.33%        1     0          0.00%
Saez Luis            8         3         37.50%        0     0          0.00%
Santana, Jr. Ricardo 1         0         0.00%         0     0          0.00%
Velazquez John R.    2         1         50.00%        0     0          0.00%

                    86        27         31.4%        12     5          41.7%
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  #12  
Old 07-22-2019, 08:16 PM
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ONTHERAIL ONTHERAIL is offline
Golden Gate
 
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Leave Luis Saez off any turf race at your peril. Guy is absolute aces at rating a horse..Front end esp.
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  #13  
Old 07-24-2019, 08:40 PM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
It would be Average... I would look at this as a way to identify favorites I want to leave off my ticket in the win slot.
like Jose Lezcano, according to the numbers!


Good stuff jms!
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  #14  
Old 07-31-2019, 08:09 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Code:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|         Jockey         |  Favs  | FavWin|  FavPct   | Odds On| OO Wins | OddsOnPct |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Alvarado Junior        |      6 |     0 | 0.00%     |      2 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Bravo Joe              |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Bridgmohan Shaun       |      1 |     1 | 100.00%   |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Cancel Eric            |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Carmouche Kendrick     |      2 |     1 | 50.00%    |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Castellano Javier      |     19 |     6 | 31.58%    |      6 |       3 | 50.00%    |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Davis Dylan            |      2 |     1 | 50.00%    |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Franco Manuel          |     11 |     2 | 18.18%    |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Gaffalione Tyler       |      4 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Garner Thomas          |      2 |     2 | 100.00%   |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Geraghty Ross          |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      1 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Jaramillo Emisael      |      1 |     1 | 100.00%   |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Landeros Chris         |      2 |     2 | 100.00%   |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Leparoux Julien R.     |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Lezcano Jose           |      7 |     4 | 57.14%    |      2 |       1 | 50.00%    |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Maragh Rajiv           |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| McDermott Sean         |      1 |     0 | 0.00%     |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Ortiz Jose L.          |     24 |     7 | 29.17%    |      2 |       2 | 100.00%   |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Ortiz, Jr. Irad        |     16 |     6 | 37.50%    |      1 |       1 | 100.00%   |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Rosario Joel           |     13 |     4 | 30.77%    |      1 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Saez Luis              |      8 |     3 | 37.50%    |      0 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Santana, Jr. Ricardo   |      5 |     2 | 40.00%    |      2 |       1 | 50.00%    |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Velazquez John R.      |      7 |     2 | 28.57%    |      1 |       0 | 0.00%     |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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  #15  
Old 08-05-2019, 12:25 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 19,676
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Code:
 JockeyFavoritesReport

  Jockey                       All  Favorites Ridden  Odds-On Favorites Ridden
                             Mounts  Wins   Win Pct     Mounts   Wins Win Pct

  Alvarado Junior               9        1   11.11%       2        0    0.00%
  Bravo Joe                     1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Bridgmohan Shaun              1        1  100.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Cancel Eric                   1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Carmouche Kendrick            3        1   33.33%       0        0    0.00%
  Castellano Javier            24        7   29.17%       6        3   50.00%
  Davis Dylan                   2        1   50.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Franco Manuel                13        4   30.77%       0        0    0.00%
  Gaffalione Tyler              5        1   20.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Garner Thomas                 2        2  100.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Geraghty Ross                 1        0    0.00%       1        0    0.00%
  Jaramillo Emisael             1        1  100.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Landeros Chris                2        2  100.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Leparoux Julien R.            3        1   33.33%       2        1   50.00%
  Lezcano Jose                 12        8   66.67%       3        2   66.67%
  Lopez Paco                    1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Maragh Rajiv                  1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  McDermott Sean                1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Ortiz Jose L.                36       10   27.78%       4        3   75.00%
  Ortiz, Jr. Irad              21       10   47.62%       1        1  100.00%
  Prat Flavien                  1        0    0.00%       0        0    0.00%
  Rosario Joel                 20        6   30.00%       1        0    0.00%
  Saez Luis                    14        4   28.57%       0        0    0.00%
  Santana, Jr. Ricardo          6        2   33.33%       2        1   50.00%
  Smith Mike E.                 1        1  100.00%       1        1  100.00%
  Velazquez John R.             8        2   25.00%       1        0    0.00%

                              190      65    34.2%       24       12    50.0%

 Monday, August 5, 2019                                           Page 1 of 1
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  #16  
Old 08-05-2019, 05:56 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
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Interesting stuff JMS, thanks for posting. Not that everyone didn’t know, but Jimmy Riccio does a hell of a job for Jose Ortiz. If you can get your jockey on the favorite almost 20% of the time at Saratoga, you’re going to have a good meet.

Lezcano almost an auto play when he’s on a favorite.
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  #17  
Old 08-12-2019, 09:56 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,676
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Code:
JockeyFavoritesReport

  Jockey                 All  Favorites Ridden   Odds-On Favorites Ridden
                        Mounts  Wins   Win Pct      Mounts Wins Win Pct

  Alvarado Junior        13        4      30.77%       3     1   33.33%
  Bravo Joe               1        0       0.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Bridgmohan Shaun        1        1      100.00%      0     0    0.00%
  Cancel Eric             2        1      50.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Carmouche Kendrick      5        2      40.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Castellano Javier      29        9      31.03%       6     3   50.00%
  Davis Dylan             5        2      40.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Franco Manuel          13        4      30.77%       0     0    0.00%
  Gaffalione Tyler        5        1      20.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Galligan Gerard         1        0       0.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Garner Thomas           2        2      100.00%      0     0    0.00%
  Geraghty Ross           1        0       0.00%       1     0    0.00%
  Jaramillo Emisael       1        1      100.00%      0     0    0.00%
  Landeros Chris          2        2      100.00%      0     0    0.00%
  Leparoux Julien R.      3        1      33.33%       2     1   50.00%
  Lezcano Jose           15        9      60.00%       3     2   66.67%
  Lopez Paco              2        0       0.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Maragh Rajiv            3        1      33.33%       0     0    0.00%
  McDermott Sean          1        0       0.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Ortiz Jose L.          45       14      31.11%       6     4   66.67%
  Ortiz, Jr. Irad        31       16      51.61%       2     2  100.00%
  Prat Flavien            1        0       0.00%       0     0    0.00%
  Rosario Joel           26        7      26.92%       1     0    0.00%
  Saez Luis              17        5      29.41%       0     0    0.00%
  Santana, Jr. Ricardo    8        4      50.00%       3     2   66.67%
  Smith Mike E.           1        1      100.00%      1     1  100.00%
  Velazquez John R.      11        3      27.27%       1     0    0.00%

                        245       90       36.7%      29    16    55.2%

 Monday, August 12, 2019                                  Page 1 of 1
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  #18  
Old 08-12-2019, 01:04 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default jms

so valueable thank you
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  #19  
Old 08-19-2019, 08:30 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Code:
 JockeyFavoritesReport
                                                              Odds-On
  Jockey                       All  Favorites Ridden      Favorites Ridden
                             Mounts  Wins   Win Pct      Mounts    Win Pct

Alvarado Junior              13        4      30.77%       3        1  33.33%
Bravo Joe                     1        0       0.00%       0        0   0.00%
Bridgmohan Shaun              1        1      100.00%      0        0   0.00%
Cancel Eric                   2        1      50.00%       0        0   0.00%
Carmouche Kendrick            8        4      50.00%       0        0   0.00%
Castellano Javier            36       13      36.11%       7        3  42.86%
Davis Dylan                   5        2      40.00%       0        0   0.00%
Franco Manuel                14        4      28.57%       0        0   0.00%
Gaffalione Tyler              7        1      14.29%       0        0   0.00%
Galligan Gerard               1        0       0.00%       0        0   0.00%
Garner Thomas                 2        2      100.00%      0        0   0.00%
Geraghty Ross                 1        0       0.00%       1        0   0.00%
Jaramillo Emisael             1        1      100.00%      0        0   0.00%
Landeros Chris                2        2      100.00%      0        0   0.00%
Leparoux Julien R.            4        1      25.00%       2        1  50.00%
Lezcano Jose                 18        9      50.00%       4        2  50.00%
Lopez Paco                    2        0       0.00%       0        0   0.00%
Maragh Rajiv                  3        1      33.33%       0        0   0.00%
McCarthy William              1        1      100.00%      0        0   0.00%
McDermott Sean                1        0       0.00%       0        0   0.00%
Ortiz Jose L.                54       20      37.04%      10        7  70.00%
Ortiz, Jr. Irad              41       18      43.90%       3        2  66.67%
Prat Flavien                  1        0       0.00%       0        0   0.00%
Rosario Joel                 33       11      33.33%       1        0   0.00%
Saez Luis                    21        6      28.57%       0        0   0.00%
Santana, Jr. Ricardo          9        4      44.44%       4        2  50.00%
Smith Mike E.                 1        1      100.00%      1        1 100.00%
Velazquez John R.            13        5      38.46%       2        1  50.00%

                              296      112     37.8%      38       20  52.6%


Monday, August 19, 2019                                          Page 1 of 1
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  #20  
Old 08-27-2019, 03:45 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,676
Default

Code:
 JockeyFavoritesReport

  Jockey                All  Favorites Ridden        Odds-On Favorites Ridden
                        Mounts  Wins   Win Pct       Mounts Wins    Win Pct

  Alvarado Junior        15        4      26.67%       3        1      33.33%
  Bravo Joe               1        0       0.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Bridgmohan Shaun        1        1      100.00%      0        0       0.00%
  Cancel Eric             2        1      50.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Carmouche Kendrick     10        4      40.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Castellano Javier      43       17      39.53%       9        4      44.44%
  Davis Dylan             6        2      33.33%       0        0       0.00%
  Franco Manuel          14        4      28.57%       0        0       0.00%
  Gaffalione Tyler        9        2      22.22%       0        0       0.00%
  Galligan Gerard         1        0       0.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Garner Thomas           3        3      100.00%      1        1      100.00%
  Geraghty Ross           1        0       0.00%       1        0       0.00%
  Jaramillo Emisael       2        1      50.00%       1        0       0.00%
  Landeros Chris          2        2      100.00%      0        0       0.00%
  Leparoux Julien R.      4        1      25.00%       2        1      50.00%
  Lezcano Jose           24       11      45.83%       5        2      40.00%
  Lopez Paco              2        0       0.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Maragh Rajiv            3        1      33.33%       0        0       0.00%
  McCarthy William        1        1      100.00%      0        0       0.00%
  McDermott Sean          1        0       0.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Ortiz Jose L.          63       23      36.51%      12        8      66.67%
  Ortiz, Jr. Irad        50       22      44.00%       5        4      80.00%
  Prat Flavien            1        0       0.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Rosario Joel           39       13      33.33%       3        0       0.00%
  Saez Luis              25        8      32.00%       0        0       0.00%
  Santana, Jr. Ricardo   13        7      53.85%       5        3      60.00%
  Smith Mike E.           1        1      100.00%      1        1      100.00%
  Velazquez John R.      15        6      40.00%       3        1      33.33%

                        352     135       38.4%        51       26     51.0%

 Tuesday, August 27, 2019                       Page 1 of 1
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