Early Top Twenty Derby Hopefuls

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I don't know how that makes three in a row though. After the Frizette, people said she was walking home and would get caught the next time but the next time, with another turn and added distance, she won by more. People wanted to say it was because of the track and nobody else liking it but to me, that doesn't really make sense. How come only one horse liked it? Also, one of the horses that she had beaten in the Frizette, Backseat Rhythm, came back to hit the board in the BC too so it appeared she was ok with the track. This race yesterday has no bearing on what she'll do later. It was a sprint, she was trained for a sprint and she ran fast. If one was to look at yesterday's race, they would conclude that she couldn't last past 7f but we know that's not true because she's already won grade ones at 8f and 8.5f.

Who knows how far she will run? I don't know. I'm not saying she will run 10f. But I haven't seen any reason to believe yet that many others have a better chance of running it better than her. But then again, maybe I haven't been watching closely or just don't know what I'm looking at. We'll see.

Not to belabor it -- but to me, it's the way she's coming home. Sure, nobody got close to her in the Frizette, and nobody got close to her in the BCJF. But she certainly appeared to get leg-weary far too early in the stretch of both races to be able to hang on at a distance like 10 furlongs.

The fact that Backseat Rhythm can't catch her at 1 1/16 when she's falling apart in the late stages isn't exactly a fiery endorsement of her potential to stretch out further, let alone against males.

There is nothing to suggest she can rate. There is nothing to suggest she can back a pace up. Factor those two negatives with her inability to stride out impressively going just 1 1/16, and throw 19 other horses behind her at the three-eighths -- someone catches her.

Not only someone, but likely about 15 someones.

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

Not to belabor it -- but to me, it's the way she's coming home. Sure, nobody got close to her in the Frizette, and nobody got close to her in the BCJF. But she certainly appeared to get leg-weary far too early in the stretch of both races to be able to hang on at a distance like 10 furlongs.

The fact that Backseat Rhythm can't catch her at 1 1/16 when she's falling apart in the late stages isn't exactly a fiery endorsement of her potential to stretch out further, let alone against males.

There is nothing to suggest she can rate. There is nothing to suggest she can back a pace up. Factor those two negatives with her inability to stride out impressively going just 1 1/16, and throw 19 other horses behind her at the three-eighths -- someone catches her.

Not only someone, but likely about 15 someones.

I thought she did a very good job of rating and relaxing behind a horse in the Frizette.