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  #61  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:29 PM
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brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
If you are only looking at speed figures, then that fact cannot be changed. I am not only looking at speed figures. I don't like to rely on one tool.
We'll have to just close the case, because we're arguing semantics, as it's obvious that you have yet to grasp what "fast" or "slow" mean, and believe that "visually impressive" is a proper substiture for those words.
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  #62  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:30 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Nobody is implying that there is not a single horse that will turn in some fast races, or will turn out to be a good horse later this year, as far as I can tell.

The point is that right now, as of this very minute, this crop is slow in comparison to past groups.

No amount of obnoxious spin can change that.
A fine effort indeed Mr. Spencer ....

Voice of reason work no doubt....

But I'm affraid it's all a wasted effort.

I've given up myself, and have resorted to posting old "bangin' on wax" lyrics and starting trolltastic threads in the esoteric section.
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  #63  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:32 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
...I am not only looking at speed figures...
so you are not looking at speed figs....you are not looking at final times....you seem to be saying that you are looking at visual observations of portions of selected races... and basing an opinion on overall speed on that portion of these selected races
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  #64  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:42 PM
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brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
A fine effort indeed Mr. Spencer ....

Voice of reason work no doubt....

But I'm affraid it's all a wasted effort.

I've given up myself, and have resorted to posting old "bangin' on wax" lyrics and starting trolltastic threads in the esoteric section.
It's like a sickness. I keep thinking that at some point, someone will say something that will finally wipe the foolish right off of her face.

And I continue to pray that it will be me.

Alas, I see it cannot be done.
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  #65  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:44 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
If you are only looking at speed figures, then that fact cannot be changed. I am not only looking at speed figures. I don't like to rely on one tool.
We always figured you to be a multiple tool kind of girl.
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  #66  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:57 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Payson Dave
so you are not looking at speed figs....you are not looking at final times....you seem to be saying that you are looking at visual observations of portions of selected races... and basing an opinion on overall speed on that portion of these selected races
When handicapping for the derby, I think the most important portion of a prep race is the final portion of the race. It tells you which horses can accelerate in the stretch, and which horses can get the 10 furlongs. For example, no matter what, El Gato Malo is a closer. He proved that he could close very well into a slow pace in his last. A horse like that is very dangerous for the derby even though he ran over synthetic. We all know what this horse did to Sierra Sunset. A stalker like Georgie Boy that can accelerate that quickly in the stretch is very dangerous in the Derby even though he ran over synthetic. I think that both horses can get the distance. The only thing that remains to be seen is if they can make the transition from synthetic to dirt. If they can, it's going to be one heck of a Derby.

I am looking at alot of factors. Pace is a huge factor. Visual of the entire race is very important. If they go slow early, horse has to be chomping at the bit (literally) the entire way until the jock says go. I need to see the explosion down the stretch when the pace is slow. I need to see a professional racehorse. Movement, guts, even previous races are very important. I look at final times in relation to the pace. I use BSFs to match horses up on talent when I can't watch the replays of the races.

I think when El Gato Malo runs a 99 and then comes back and runs an 85, the second number has to be ignored under the circumstances. If he wouldn't have ran as hard as he did in his previous race, I would think differently. He ran every bit as hard as he could have under the circumstances when you take the pace of the race into account. You couldn't have asked the horse to do anymore under the circumstances. He just ran into a horse that had a better trip that may be a little bit more talented and got a heck of a ride from a jock.
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  #67  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:59 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
We always figured you to be a multiple tool kind of girl.
Can we please not talk about how big of a whore some of you all think I am just because I am a 22 yo blonde from NC.
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  #68  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:00 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
It's painfully obvious what an absurd agenda you have and your bad opinion cements your position as the biggest douche on the board.

Pretty good huh?
Give yourself a cookie. That was good.

Someday you might actually ball up and share your detailed thoughts on a race before it runs.
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  #69  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:01 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Can we please not talk about how big of a whore some of you all think I am just because I am a 22 yo blonde from NC.
Don't worry. The ones who don't like other men use socks and porn. You are in no danger from these guys.
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  #70  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:02 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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The discussion in this thread has been less about handicapping for this years derby and more about comparing the speed shown so far by this years crop to that of other years...
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  #71  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:15 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Can we please not talk about how big of a whore some of you all think I am just because I am a 22 yo blonde from NC.
do you have pics?

actually, i never thought of you that way at all, until now.
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  #72  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:18 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Can we please not talk about how big of a whore some of you all think I am just because I am a 22 yo blonde from NC.

not that I would hold something like that against ya....but I don't think that was what was being discussed...
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  #73  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:22 PM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Can we please not talk about how big of a whore some of you all think I am just because I am a 22 yo blonde from NC.
I didn't realize you were female either.....

Hey there
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  #74  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:24 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Payson Dave
not that I would hold something like that against ya....but I don't think that was what was being discussed...
Sorry, response to IDs comment and some other previous comments in this thread.

Horses...
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  #75  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:25 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Sorry, response to IDs comment and some other previous comments in this thread.
I didn't notice anything wrong with his comment. Don't you use different tools to pick winners with?
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  #76  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:25 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I didn't notice anything wrong with his comment. Don't you use different tools to pick winners with?
hey, when are you going to post her pictures?
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  #77  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:26 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
hey, when are you going to post her pictures?
I'll get darted.
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  #78  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:54 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Nobody is implying that there is not a single horse that will turn in some fast races, or will turn out to be a good horse later this year, as far as I can tell.

The point is that right now, as of this very minute, this crop is slow in comparison to past groups.

No amount of obnoxious spin can change that.
Maybe my problem is that I always look to the future, and that I am not so quick to say that a good thing is bad because the experts say so.
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  #79  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:58 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Maybe my problem is that I always look to the future, and that I am not so quick to say that a good thing is bad because the experts say so.
Actually your problem is that you really have way to much to say for someone who should be learning from people who know far more then you about racing
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  #80  
Old 03-17-2008, 03:09 PM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Actually your problem is that you really have way to much to say for someone who should be learning from people who know far more then you about racing
That would be TOO.


















































I will hide now.
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