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[blackthroatedwind]

The odds actually are pretty much a perfect ( less takeout of course ) interpretation of horses' actual chances of winning over time.

He actually had only one start last year before trying the Whitney.

I think you need to not only take a good look at his speed figures but also look at them relative to the horses you have mentioned. This horse is in a different league than some you mentioned.

I understand 6F is a question, but considering his running style and raw talent it is FAR from out of the question. One thing I would liketo see, and you brought this up, would be a win while rating. If he can successfully sit a couple lengths off horses, and he is as good this year as last, he won't just win the BC Sprint...he will drown them.