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Old 04-14-2022, 05:41 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,048
Default 4/14: Aqueduct ($45k P6 C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM-$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Belleshazza 4th
Next Best: #2 Masabeeh 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Synonymous WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #3 Candlestick Maker 5th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Aside from the P6 and P5 (which starts here), a really fun betting race. Favored #10 Palace Gossip (7-2) can win, but she'll have to withstand plenty of pace pressure. Will use defensively..

Best Value: #3 Flip My Id 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Fontanafredda 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Uncle's Gem 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Masterof the Tunes 10-1 5th


6th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes. Murky basket o' coconuts..

Most Likely: #5 Bird Ruler 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Nicholas James 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Alite 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 My Boy Colton 7-2 4th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

SCR #4 Exotic West who won the Top Flight Sunday.. Not sure why Default Protection (5-2) is 3rd choice here as Feb. effort is as good or better than anything Make Mischief (9-5) or Cafe Society (2-1) shows on their pages..

Most Likely: #1 Default Protection 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Make Mischief 9-5 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Cafe Society 2-1 DH-2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Chad/Brant entry has Kuramata in field and Flop Shot perched as 1st AE and either/both are most likely here..

Most Likely: #2e Brown/Brant entry 8-5 WON/3rd ($3.50)
Best Value: #8 Buy Land and See 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Highland Chief 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Worth a Shot 6-1 8th


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer

Casse AE #14 Sinfully Sweet would be the key if she were to make it in. In moderate looking group, #3 Royal Dancer (12-1) has price appeal with hustling bug Gomez on a Nevin firster that has pedigree to take to turf sprinting..

Best Value: #3 Royal Dancer 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Smokin' Hot Kitty 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Crosstalk 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Valentia Island 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

4: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 10 (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), 2 (B), 6 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x2x1x3 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x1x1x3 = $12
Backups ($66): $24 (C-A-A-A-A-A) + $6 (A-C-A-A-A-A) + $12 (A-A-A-C-A-A) + $24 (A-A-A-A-C-A)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5 (A), 6-9-10 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x1x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x2x1x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $36 (A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple ($1 All A's): 4x3x1x3 = $36
.50 Backup: $36 (A-A-C-A)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-15-2022 at 09:58 AM.
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