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Old 10-23-2006, 06:53 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
No, my comments are being made before the race. He is too slow, he is distance challenged, and he is pretty much a need the lead type. Nothing about him suits this race.

He has ZERO chance and is the kind of horse people only pick on the internet and don't back with their wallets. He will be 40-1 or more and should be every bit of that.
The only sentence I agree with is the first. I'm not sure about the last.

One thing I am certain of is that he has more than a "zero" chance. If you don't understand that, then you are not as sharp as I thought you were.

I can assure you I will be backing him with my wallet if I see 40-1. I think he has better than a 2.5% chance to win. I'd also take 10-1 that he finishes in front of Bernardini and 4-1 that he finishes in front of any other individual horse in the race. Those are numbers I'm SURE I'd take. I may be willing to go much lower in the matchups.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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