I’ve looked at this race for a while and I keep coming back to it setting up for Early Voting and Epicenter to run 1-2 with moderate early fractions set by Early Voting. I don’t think Epicenter or Simplification want to get into an early duel with Early Voting and I’m not sure anyone else in the field is fast enough to really pressure Early Voting.
Fenwick is a bit of a question mark as I assume they’re going to want to send him and hope for the best. He never seemed to get comfortable in the Blue Grass so I expect a better effort from him. But I’m not really sure how fast he is.
Creative Minister is getting some hype and I don’t want to discount him but I think Skippylongstocking is a more interesting longshot coming from off the pace and plan to include him underneath in all my bets.
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