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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I was looking at Teixeira for 8 years earlier and had decided it was rather stupid, glad to see it was the Yankees that stepped in with the stupidity. Here's the numbers I dug up.
Top ten similar players through Age 28:
Carlos Delgado*(935)
Kent Hrbek*(925)
Fred McGriff*(913)
Jim Thome*(911)
Will Clark*(910)
Jeff Bagwell*(909)
Willie McCovey*(906)
Richie Sexson*(904)
Shawn Green*(901)
Paul Konerko*(899)
The worst case is Hrbek and Green who only made it to what would be year 6 of the contract before being out of baseball. Sexson and Konerko are yet to hit 34 and are already on their way out. So you have a 6 in 10 success rate with those six all being big name players in Delgado, McGriff, Thome, Clark, Bagwell, and McCovey. Here are their average statistics at 34-36.
At 34 - .274 22 HRs 77 RBIs
At 35 - .283 29 HRs 84 RBIs
At 36 - .277 28 HRs 90 RBIs
A solid player but is that really someone you want to be paying $20 million a year? Not to mention that he could turn out a Green/Hrbek/Sexson/Konerko.
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He is worth the money for the next 4 or 5 years and is a far superior defensive player to all of those players. Not to mention that he is a switch hitter who will have Arod hitting behind him (assuming the bat him third and Arod 4th which is the logical scenario) meaning he will see pitches and score lots of runs. The deal is most likely a bad one in when he is 37 but that is a long ways off. He is a much better deal at the numbers suggested than Sabathia's deal.