I am probably being way too chalky in here, but maybe it'll work out.
$80W Jasikan
$20W Nolde
I like your pick Manhattan Up. Some things to like about him: drops in class, runs like a turf horse(closer). Better figs(on dirt) than most of these. Would not surprise me, if he wins it or at least hits the board, but I guess I will stick to a couple of horses that are more proven on turf, even though they are going up in class and their figs don't look all that fast. Both look like they ought to be making up some major ground late. Good luck.