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Originally Posted by Scav
Mike,
Thanks for your tout in the bias yesterday. While Race 1 didn't unfold with speed holding, the rail was sure good and the only reason I keyed Chief Speed was on a fly that it was still good. I know they change the track daily but I figured I would take a flyer in that the rail is good again today, not sure if the 1 was much the best or not, but it sure look like the rail carried him to the win.....
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Scav,
biases like yesterday's make me say no thanks after i see its that bad.
I find those biases the hardest to win money on. You can't control a bad break from the gate, and because only so many horses in a given race have speed, it narrows down the possible likely outcomes. When I see a speed bias that extreme, I say el paso.
I prefer closing biases because theoretically you can get more horses to be likely to be involved in gimmicks, especially suck up types underneath at big odds.
Looks like the rail may be the yellow brick road again today, but at one mile and 70 yards with a short run to the first turn its always advantageous to be drawn inside.
Watch the next few before making any serious plays. Best bets from these biases come in their NEXT STARTS!!! Winners who look so good come back overbet, and horses who ran evenly and got beat look worse than they are and get underbet.
Just make sure you pencil yesterday's date on your calendar and eagerly await the runbacks.