[Kitan]

Race 1:
#2 All That Rules hasn’t run since April 2013, but the trainer had a similar type run well earlier in the meet so that’s not a worry. Good win on last appearance and is the only one I’m interested in here.

Race 2:
With so many questions to be asked about the plunger, #5 Moonluck, who will either romp or still be running at press time tomorrow, this seems like a bombs away race. I’m taking a stab on #1 Sounds of Saratoga, and not just because of the hunch play. Martin took the Lasix off last time and he ran one of his best races to date. Obviously he still needs to improve on that, but this seems more of a dirt horse anyways. Things obviously haven’t panned out, but he took money in his dirt debut and is wheeled back quickly for a trainer who does well in these drop downs. Inside post means he can use his quick gate speed and get a good position. There are so many negatives about every horse in the race that they’re not worth writing about. #8 was the other one I liked, but the Vet SCR just over two weeks ago was the deterrent.

Race 3:
This looks like one where the ALL button will come in handy. Complete crapshoot and couldn’t be confident on anything. I think Sydney Dutrow has a good chance of breaking his duck with #3 Springcourt. Solid effort last time, the blinkers come off, and he’s put two works into him. #6 Cease is the one to beat off the drop down for Jacobson with a good record at SAR and at 9f. I can see #1 Matt and Jesse run a big one here. Never out of the money at the Spa and has a near unblemished record at 9f. Who knows? Bruce can have #7 ready on the drop down. Wide open.

Race 4:
This is far from a classic Spa baby race, and I have a feeling that the Rices are going to have #3 Dangerous Cowboy ready to roll here. He’s bred to win early, and it looks like there’s some speed from the workouts. With the bug they may send and try and steal it.
#7 Jet Alley is the logical firster for Trombetta, but Flower Alley isn’t known for his prowess as a 2yo sire and that the only put off. #2 Radamel was one I originally liked, but the fact that his yearling price was half of his weanling price is a major concern.
#6 Dinner Time didn’t run a step on debut, isn’t bred to win early, and has since been a Vet SCR. Turf work shows maybe there might be foot issues or that they’re not sure what to do with him. #4 Thirtysilverpieces was sent off at 32-1 on debut for Ward. That tells me all I need to know.

Race 5:
#11 Subtle is a very speedy mare who loves SAR and clearly is the one to beat.
#1 Spun Silky won at the Spa last year off a similar layoff, at this distance, and in practically the same race. Saville can prep them well and is off a good start at the meet. Mare was much lower odds than the two rivals that beat her last time, and she’ll be the value play here.
#2 Kiama has never been out of the top two in six starts on the turf, and Lynch brings them down ready.

Race 6:
#6 Building Permit is a FTS with a solid worktab. Chad Brown excels with NY-bred MSW at SAR, and with all the rage being on two other foes, he could be a bit of an overlay.
#1 Razia Sultana and #5 Zo Zo both come from what I thought, both before the race and since, to be a very weak event. The experience factor is obviously very beneficial, but they’re no sure thing. I know what Dutrow’s record is with 2nd time 2yos, but I don’t think he’s a sure thing here. These are two that you don’t want to beat you and must use, except in my small P5---I'll take that risk, but are very vulnerable in my opinion.

EDIT: With the SCR of the 1 in R2, I'm going to use the 3 in the P5.

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 2: 3
Race 3: 1, 3, 6, 7
Race 4: 3, 7
Race 5: 1, 2, 11
Race 6: 6
$14.40

$0.60 Pick Four
Race 3: ALL (7)
Race 4: 3, 7
Race 5: 1, 2, 11
Race 6: 1, 5, 6
$75.60

Race 1 $1 Pick Three
2/1, 3, 5/1, 3, 6, 7
$12

If I get a chance in the morning I'll try and get the late Pick Four up.

Good luck!