Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Saying that the Belmont winner wouldnt have touched the races that Chrome offered is completely useless. The race was run Chrome didnt beat him in the race they squared off against each other. Was I overwhelmed with the race hardily both Tonalist was dead game as was Chrome and Chrome lost. extrapolating what would or could have been in preakness of Derby is pure conjecture. Let's face it both horses are good. If i had to bet who is better in 120 days my money is on Tonalist
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I never said that. I said it is irrelevant how Tonalist would have done in the Derby and Preakness. The only thing that was relevant in handicapping the Belmont was how those two horses would do against each other going 1 1/2 miles when it is CC's 3rd race in 5 weeks. That was the only thing that was relevant, at least to me, in handicapping the Belmont.
Do I think Tonalist would have won the Derby? Based on his performance in the Belmont I would say probably not. But I don't want to judge Tonalist too harshly based on how he ran going 1 1/2 miles. I doubt any of these horses will ever run 1 1/2 miles again. It's probably not an ideal distance for any of them. I wouldn't really judge any horse too harshly based on a single race going 1 1/2 miles. He ran a decent race. He didn't look like a star but he could still turn out to be a star.