Looking forward to today's race. Good luck to TC, Junior and everyone there in person.
I'll give my handicapping another shot - please let me know if you see some glaring errors.
- This appears to be a minor step down for TC in class - maybe that will help him.
- On the front end, the #2(Distorted Dream) looks formidable. He may try to go start to finish on the front. By the numbers it appears that he can do it - but it's a step up in class for him.
- The #8(Best Play) has a strong late kick and had the highest speed figure last time although that was on the dirt. He may come running late.
- The #10(Madam I'm Adam) looks good and seems to do well on turf although his best turf finishes were at shorter distances. He also appears to have the highest class races in his background. Will the drop in class help him with the longer distance?
So, the #2 goes to the lead with TC, #8 and #10 midpack. On the far turn, the #10 starts to fade and TC and #8 chase #2 to the finish. A victim to the fast early fractions, #2 starts to slow. #8 realizes that his dirt performance will not translate to turf. TC shows his late move and edges out to win.
WP bet on Toy Cannon.
Let's start the season off right!!! Good luck to us.