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Old 05-19-2014, 12:40 PM
tywizard tywizard is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 438
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Quote:
Originally Posted by parsixfarms View Post
I would think there is little chance that Rosario rides Ride on Curlin in Belmont. They have already been discussing possible replacements.

I could see where it is possible that Danza might be a shorter price (given Derby odds and finish, and Pletcher being the trainer); I cannot see Commanding Curve going from being 37-1 in Derby to single digit odds in this race.

By way of comparison, in last year's Belmont, Freedom Child (last year's blowout Peter Pan winner) was the 8-1 third choice, and Golden Soul was 11-1. IMO, there is no question that Tonalist brings far more to this year's Belmont than Freedom Child did last year.
I agree on Freedom Child vs Tonalist but disagree with comparing Golden Soul and Commanding Curve. The latter has a ton of potential. And people love closers. I don't see anyway Wicked Strong goes off at a bigger number.
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