I would think there is little chance that Rosario rides Ride on Curlin in Belmont. They have already been discussing possible replacements.
I could see where it is possible that Danza might be a shorter price (given Derby odds and finish, and Pletcher being the trainer); I cannot see Commanding Curve going from being 37-1 in Derby to single digit odds in this race.
By way of comparison, in last year's Belmont, Freedom Child (last year's blowout Peter Pan winner) was the 8-1 third choice, and Golden Soul was 11-1. IMO, there is no question that Tonalist brings far more to this year's Belmont than Freedom Child did last year.
|