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Old 03-13-2014, 09:44 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
That's pretty creative math there Phil.

The scratch of the second choice, by the way, doesn't cut the payoff in half. Not only that, the last winner would have paid considerably more than $4.20 had the second choice not been scratched. Arguably, the scratch could have helped the whole parlay/payoff/value thing.
Not creative math, I screwed that thought up. You are right- I forgot about the win pool getting cut as well. The winner was between 2-1 and 5/2 at the time of the scratch so the parlay value would be 60-80% higher.

What my thought was we don't know the payoffs but the 2nd choice was the morning line favorite after the scratch of the original morning line favorite. I have to think there was a similar number of tickets on both, give or take. Net result, a lot of people probably ended up with two winning tickets and happy faces. That said- I did not play the pick 6 today, but I did play the pick 4- and one of the reasons was I did NOT like the 9 in the last, and the original willpay was $3600 for a buck to the 1 and it paid $2400 after the scratch. So perhaps there was 50-75% of the money of the 1 on the 9.

Of course while I correctly smoked out the 1st time Euro, I whiffed on Orseno on the turnback. Crap.
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