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Old 12-26-2013, 07:01 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,939
Default 12/26: Santa Anita (Opening Day; 4th-9th)

SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Lots of speed here and Five Palms figures to get an ideal outside stalking voyage under visiting (My Happy Face; No Jet Lag; Flashback) Rosario..

Most Likely: #8 Five Palms 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #9 Big Macher 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Door's Open 6-1 4th



5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Trelawny 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Atta Boy Pete 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Koast 3-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Mambo Man 12-1 4th


6th: 41st La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Lulu the filly to beat with benefits of pace edge and rail. Would love to try to find a way best her, but should be very tough unless confronted early and often..

Most Likely: #1 Sweet Lulu 8-5 2nd
Next Best: # 6 My Happy Face 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Heir Kitty 9-2 WON ($28.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Executiveprivlege 4-1 3rd


7th: 14th Sir Beaufort (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Narrow focus here with favorites -- No Jet Lag/Tom's Tribute -- seemingly holding big edge over rest of the cast. Considering that top pair in La Brea should cover you starting the P4, going 2 deep here should set things up well for coverage in the Malibu..

Most Likely: #9 Tom's Tribute 3-1 6th
Next Best: #8 No Jet Lag 5-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Dice Flavor 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Outside Nashville 20-1 DH-3rd


8th: 62nd Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Last G1 of the year and always an interesting, competitive cast. One third of group has big speed lined up shoulder to shoulder outside (#'s 9-12) and those looking to rally may need to at least stay in touch with the battling pacesetters because there is always a chance one or two of the frontrunners stay on. I'm looking to the stalkers here which centers around deserving favorite Flashback (7-2). Central Banker (6-1) is the right price to work with from a wagering standpoint..

Best Value: #7 Central Banker 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Flashback 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Zeewat 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Heir of Storm 6-1 6th


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Confisio 7-2 11th
Best Value: #12 Primal Lad 30-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Magna Warrior 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Mr. Cactus 4-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #10 New Order 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

$2.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($12.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 6 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($6.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 3,10,11 with 5 ($6.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 2,8,12 ($18.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 2,4,7 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($9.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,4,5,6,7 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($7.50)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 2,6,8,9,12 with 5 ($5.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 9,10 ($6.00)

Total: $69.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-27-2013 at 04:43 AM.
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