12/3: Aqueduct ($22k C/O)
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Deep, well-matched NYB group to start C/O sequence with 5-2 favorite The Lady Says Yes solid, but not appreciably better than the next half dozen on the totem. 5-1 players As Well and Miz Owell have been better than the ML choice in fact, but are out-posted. Chow Fun (10-1) is well drawn for run back to 11/2 breakout effort and can adjust to pace kicking off the skein with a bang..
Best Value: #2 Chow Fun 10-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #4 The Lady Says Yes 5-2 (A) 4th
Exotics Use: #9 As Well 5-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #10 Miz Owell 5-1 (B) 7th
5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Prudent Investor 7-2 (A) 5th
Next Best: #7 Bemata 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Strong Defense 6-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Tricky Slam 5-1 (C) 6th
6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Archer Queen (6-1) represents my favored Triple Whammy (Dropping down, cutting back, turf-to-dirt) but will need to run down loose Recovered (12-1) who showed speed in debut and now gets blinkers and Chucky Lopez.. a recipe for a jailbreak away from the gate..
Most Likely: #9 Archer Queen 6-1 (A) 8th
Best Value: #10 Recovered 12-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #2 Possetivevibration 10-1 (C) 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Livininthefastlane 4-1 (C) 5th
7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Talent N Passion is the speed but Sister City a fat 12-1 and gets 7# from her while poised outside for stalk and go voyage. Merry Meadow cleared condition having been DQ'd last time and was within 2L of Comely runner-up Toasting in October. No bargain at 2-1 with this tough group. Speaking of Toasting, famously streaky Albertrani going well right now and Superior Sarah may be coming up to good one 3rd (quasi) off the layoff. My Sparky's race 2 back would be very competitive here too..
Best Value: #8 Sister City 12-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #4 Merry Meadow 2-1 (A) WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Superior Sarah 10-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #5 My Sparky 12-1 (C) 6th
8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)
Well-matched group of ALW foes, many of whom exit foggy affair 17 days ago (won by Cheyenne Nation) or have each other over the course of the year. Mia Poppy is the pacemaker from inside, but several here have shown ability to close into modest splits. 7yo Compliance Officer not what he once was, but placement here seems appropriate and he has speed to stay within striking distance of the leader. Bruce Kravets returns with capable Bo Strikes Back. Note that AE #12 Non Stop a serious player if drawing in..
Best Value: #8 Bo Strikes Back 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #1 Tiz Gianni 6-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Compliance Officer 5-1 (B) WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #7 Unbridled Fire 10-1 (C) 5th
9th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 1m
Cheapish MCLM event as finale and you almost have to hang your hat on Street Prince SCR'D who plunges and has races on his resume that are far better than anything anyone else has shown so far..
Best Value: #2 Thunder But Norain 12-1 (A) WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #4 St. Sincere 7-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Muscles Marinara 6-1 (B) 6th
Super Add: #9 Flashy Ross 15-1 (C) 9th
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 2-4
5: 1-7
6: 9
7: 3-4-8
8: 1-2-8
9: 2-4
2x2x1x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 9-10
7: 3-4-5-8
8: 1-2-3-5-7-8
9: 2-4-10
2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-04-2013 at 03:48 PM.
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