Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Obviously I went back and watched the head-on a few times before correcting you. She boobled a bit, but she didn't stumble.
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Semantics.
It looked like she broke into the side of the starting gate to me, and that caused her breaking a bit awkwardly and a half length to a length slow.
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
It's also irrelevant to what I said...and you then ignored.
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You said multiple things.
"I don't believe they are confident she can pass horses, else I highly doubt they would have sent her after On Fire Baby as aggressively as they did in the Personal Ensign."
I think it is probable that is what they think.
"I would guess that, in retrospect, they wish they had sent her harder in the Beldame."
Absolutely. Of course.
"She may be braver at a higher cruising speed."
I don't agree.
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I wouldn't disagree with your assertion that she would be better off being less aggressive in this BC, assuming she could still run effectively that way, I'm just not sure she can do that, and I think her connections, and not just her rider, may feel similarly.
I may end up being very wrong, but I think she is extremely vulnerable in this year's BC.
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Yeah. We have a slight difference of opinion. I think she is only vulnerable if she is ridden the same way she has been. Which does make 'what her connections think' relevant.
One of these years, we will have in-race exchange wagering...and we can trade and place bets after the opening quarter and half mile are completed ...and that will remove the 'what her connections think' equation right out of the gamble.