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Originally Posted by Kasept
The perils, and pleasures, of multi-race wagering was on full display Tuesday at Philadelphia Park when my bad miss in R6 destroyed an otherwise strong day of selections. Yo Say, blinkers-on and very useable upon re-inspection at 8-1, topped Vanity Affair and blew out all three P3's as the last, middle and first leg of the trios. The combined value of the plays with his inclusion was $800. Uggh...
While the omission is a source of frustration, it also demonstrates why P3/P4 betting can work. The winners in races 4, 5, 7 and 8 were ALL chalky (5-2, 3-2, 3-2 and 1-1), yet the P3's returned $338, $245 and $210 because of 5th choice Yo Say.
Wednesday begins another period of traditionally famed racing nationwide with the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Fairgrounds returns to the scene Thursday, another step in the reclamation of normal life in New Orleans post-Katrina. Aqueduct, Churchill and Hollywood all feature multiple Grade I events Thursday-Sunday, with the schedule as follows:
Thursday, 11/23
AQU: Fall Highweight
CD: Falls City (Gr. II)
HOL: On Trust
FG: Thanksgiving H.
Friday, 11/24
AQU: Top Flight H. (Gr. II)
CD: Clark H. (Gr. I)
HOL: Citation H. (Gr. II); Generous S. (Gr. III)
Saturday, 11/25
AQU: Cigar Mile (Gr. I); Remsen (Gr. II); Demoiselle (Gr. II)
CD: Golden Rod (Gr. II); KY JC (Gr. II)
HOL: Turf Express H. (Gr. III); Miesque S. (Gr. III)
Sunday, 11/26
HOL: Hollywood Derby (Gr. I); Matriarch (Gr. I)
We'll cover as much as possible and start with a good P4 at Aqueduct Wednesday... We'll also take the opportunity to wish everyone a safe and wonderful Thanksgiving...
SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, R6-9 (Late P4)
RED race # = Superfecta...
6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, DD)
1. #8 My Rachel 3-1: Pletcher 4yo with issues back to steady worktab
2. #7 Morning Jewel 5-1: KMc bay from Adena failed as MED choice last
A. #6 SCRATCHED
B. #2 Timeless Treasure 7-2: $325k Oxley red by Pulpit bulleted; gets Edgar
LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #5 Elsloom (8-1): Will get lost on board; Adds blinks..
7th: ALW, 3+, 6f (P3)
1. #3 LORD SNOWDEN 9-2: Ryerson colt was impeded last; Rarely fails to fire
2. #7 Sea Heather 12-1: Kent D. abandons 2x last out winner for Chief's bay
A. #6 Executive Fleet 12-1: Rice-Solaris debut winner exits super key MClmer
B. #2 Time to Grow Up 2-1: Schosberg always sharp with sprinters
8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)
1. #6 Madame Diva 5-2: Hushion gets Prado back; Spotty worktab a concern
2. #5 Towering Escape 9-2: Loses Edgar to choice; Gets intense pace press
A. #3 Lady Jove 10-1: Last a corker but back quick and reaction possible
B. #8 In Command 7-2: Dutrow back on track; Bay rested since MDN breaker
SUPER ADD: #7 Girl in Uniform 5-1
9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f
1. #5 Highland Pine 15-1: Grabbing juicy tab on T2D Destasio dropper
2. #10 Westside Willy 5-2: Logical Weaver grey away since Spa; 1st for tag
A. #7 Knave of Diamonds 15-1: Galluscio 21% this move; Husting pilot too
B. #3 Eightyninecentsday 9-2: Amonte-CC Lopez combo a scarey proposition
LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Anxious Contender (12-1): Shevy good with quick runbacks; Board threat on return to best
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 6-7-8
7: 3-7
8: 5-6
9: 2-5-7-10
3x2x2x4 = $48
Good luck!
Steve
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