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Old 09-26-2013, 02:32 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
I think Ness should be banned for life, but I don't think his presence makes the racing unbettable. To the contrary, you can make some real money betting against his horses in the right spots (usually in turf races where his horses don't figure and are still bet like it's dirt) and in other spots, he's as rock-solid a single as they come. Again, I don't condone what he does, but strictly from a player's perspective, there's upside to having him on the grounds.


I haven't pulled Formulator on him in a while, but if he claimed one out of a dirt sprint and ran him first out 2 turns turf, his win rate was like 6% or something, yet they always took a ton of because his first off the claim % is generally in the high 30's. Great bet against opportunities as you get inflated prices on logical horses.

I've learned to live with him. If he doesn't come back, I won't be doing cartwheels about it nor will I lose any sleep. will definitely have to alter my approach to wagering there though.

Of course, Zaidie will be waiting in the wings to take his place.
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