[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by asudevil

I don't have hard data on this, but I'm pretty certain that in CA, the late pick 4 has become a direct beneficiary of the players pick 5. Putting Del Mar aside, where the pick 4 is always huge (and there's only 1 per day), it seemed as if both Hollywood's and SA's pools have been larger over the past year. The late pick 4 benefits by:

1. Those people that hit the pick 5, feel confident, and want to take a stab at the pick 4. In most instances the pick 6 would have already commenced.

2. Those that may have gone 4 for 5, are pissed, and out for revenge in the pick four. Let's not all believe that everyone has terrific discipline with regards to money management.

I'm curious to see if this holds true at NYRA.

This is right. The churn effect is one of the reasons early Pick 4's caught on.