I've used the Pace Projector with great success at Saratoga and Presque Isle Downs over the last several weeks.
For the Saratoga meet, my Play of the Day Blog write-ups produced 18 winners out of 59 plays. That's a 30.5% win percentage at an average win mutual of $10.90
Obviously, you have a huge luxury when you can narrow it down to making just one, two, or on rare occasions, three plays a day. And my focus was always on taking horses who either projected dream trips, or projected very good trips after having been victimized repeatedly by bad setups.
Some of the nice priced winners did it with off-the-pace trips on the turf, such as Dangerous Lad ($35.60) and Caroline Thomas ($25.80) ... surprisingly, Laughing (only $15.80) was the longest priced of the ones who went wire-to-wire.
I mentioned Sandy'z Slew (wire to wire in a turf sprint at $31.80) on Twitter, but did not use her in my Blog write-up, unfortunately.
Anyway, things have been a lot more impressive at Presque Isle over the last month, thanks to a pro-rail bias.
This is what the Pace Projector looked like for the 5th race on August 19th at PID:
The #4 horse Paige Me, a closer, had pretty competitive figures and projected for a dream trip. Covered up on a very good rail path, with a very fast pace at 6.5 furlongs in front of him. I ended up selecting the race 4-8-1 in the paper.
The #4, Paige Me won and paid $60.60 and the exacta of 4-1 paid $441.60 on a day when the pools were huge. Over $40,000 was bet into the exacta pool alone, in this race:
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart...081913USA5.pdf
Yesterday's 8th race at Presque Isle was another great example of the pace projector working on the opposite end. Military Mary (wire-to-wire at $40.80) projected a loose early lead, on the rail, going just 5 furlongs. The 5f distance is very speed favoring at PID and riders will normally let a longshot go instead of rushing up to hook them, even at 5f.
Anyway, I picked Military Mary because of the obvious pace advantage:
The top selection in the newspaper won 6 out of the 8 races yesterday, including a cold late pick 4 capped off with the $40.80 winner.
Basically, the Pace Projector is an excellent tool, not to just find horses who might make a loose lead, but to also find closers who project a dream trip behind a fast early pace. Especially when you have a rail bias in play.
It's also good at finding horses who project dream stalking trips, a clear third behind two duelers, or a clear 4th behind three pace rivals. It's especially effective in races with a lot of established form and no horses making surfaces switches or equipment changes.
If you're not using it, you should be.