Since another cappin acquaintance has called asking if I hit the four yesterday I thought I would recap my play and try to find what went wrong.
Race 7 We went three deep and Albert's Bride could have been tossed. La Joyeria was a tough read because Dini took her for only $15K and had won some 80 thousand, so why not put her in for a tag and as could have been suspected, she had no punch AND found a new home. The clear winner was Aunt Dot Dot. Skaggs took her for $30K and gave her some time then put her where she belonged and she delivered. He moved into a tough allowance and she was beat two lengths. A tough dirt allowance at Mountaineer resulted in a very good second but created a problem; where next? Skaggs could not run for 2X at keeneland as too tough so he selected a 6 1/2 50K claimer, also a difficult spot. This was the tip off race as she exploded late on the outside into sizzling late fractions, on a day where inside speed dominated. Boom Raffie's agent calls and they settle on a mile dirt race for forty, but the track is awful and she runs an even third while being well bet. The hood comes off, and back to the green for an eleven dollar mutuel.
Race 8 Within fifteen minutes I am down to the two I played and the two 3yo's coming off mini vacations. Blotto seems likely to improve and figures 2-1 but notice that He Loves Me not only ran on the same day, at the same distance and actually ran faster and since the geld has been hickory. I figured the other three are all between 9-2 and six to one and am shocked when Bridled Quest pays some $54. This is the type of horse that Steven Christ writes about in his latest book and should have been an a A plus selection. Thorograph had this colt with a five (many lengths faster than any of the others) in his last and as a homebred Unbridleds Song coming off a clear score, from a top barn....well you get the picture and its not a pretty one.
9) Quick name the six tracks that offer one turn miles! Someone mentioned that Student Councli won at this trip, but in reality both Little Cliff and 'Council have been AWFUL going one turn. Each has had three tries and zero competitive efforts. That leaves two and there is your exacta.
10) Went two deep in a three horse race! End of story.
When you mix poor cappin with weak ticket construction pain often ensues. A few tenets that will help some people:
Blinkers on/ Blinkers off Never look at the trainers record with this move, it is a false statistic (the DRF is full of them) and totally irrelevant. A much better angle is too look for a jock who rides for the first time, then "requests" the switch.
Always seperate one turn races from two turn events. Aside from the normal distance progression of youngsters, two turn horses do not win one turn races and vice versa.
Always, objectively review your plays. I almost always go to the TG site, red board room the day after.
Lastly keep track of your spacing; both with horses and yourself. Horses with proper spacing win more than their share, and for cappers the same. Four pick 4 plays, in four days, for this capper is far far too much. Playing Wednesday. Good cappin. BBB
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