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Originally Posted by eajinabi
Yeah Scuds I remember you touting her before the Juvie Fillies. Good Call.
I had supported her nicely in the juvie fillies also but the track was not favoring to her that day. I really felt she was the live lonshot in that race at CD. Mel Stute thought high enough of her to send her back after only 2 weeks rest and she scores at 6-1. I like the way she weaved through horses today. Great sign of maturity.
Also, Yesterday another Mel Stute Horse in the Prevue ran good too (High Austin). I have this horse on my watch list. I believe next out he may have him sit far back and make one big run. Maybe.
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Well,the track record for this new surface is 121 4/5.It used to be 119 4/5.I would expect it to maybe go down a full second when top sprinters run(120 4/5.) About a full second slower than the old dirt surface. You have to ask yourself whether you think that Prevue stakes was a good one.I think it was.It was run in 122.42..Last year Your Tent or Mine ran it 1.42 seconds quicker,and in 2004 Declans Moon's time was .68 seconds quicker than Belgravia's effort was.So,if you think Belgravia's effort was as good as Declan's Moon,then this Cushion track is .68 seconds slower than the old surface.If you think Belgravia's performance was equal to Your Tent or Mine's performance,then this surface is 1.42 seconds slower than the old surface.If you take an average of the 2,it would be 1 second slower.So, the girls ran a 124.13 today on this cushion track.That would be anywhere from a 123.45 to as low as a 122.71 on the old track that people are use to judging West Coast Times by.If you think the track is 1 second slower,then the girls ran an equivalent of a 123.13 in the Moccasin. No Bull Baby won the Moccasin in 2004 by running a 123.06,and last year,Private World ran a 122 1/5 in the Moccasin.These times were both about 1.3 seconds lower than their male counterparts.QLM ran 1.71 seconds slower than Belgravia.So,the boys ran about .4 seconds quicker than the normal 1.30 seconds that they beat the female counterparts by.You can blame that on QLM,or give credit to Belgravia,or a little both.The fact is that this 1:24 for 7f is not the normal West Coast 1:24,because the track is probably a full second slower than it was with the dirt surface.As far as what you are use to seeing,the girls ran about a 1:23.Maybe a little less or more,but the track is somewhere between a half second,and a second and a half slower.Go back and look at the tape.The favorite is slowing down some,but that isn't a death march that would be timed in 1:24 on the old surface.Like I said,As far as the West Coast times you are used to it probably is about a 1:23(or about what No Bull Baby ran.)Not great,but not the maggot slow time that these haters are comfortable pinning on QLM.