Quote:
Originally Posted by ninetoone
I'll try this one last way. If NI manages to run that race in 2:02 3/5, he wins by a small margin, right?
Now are you saying that it's impossible that a horse that's not Secretariat could have done that, given his position at 6F? At a mile? If so, I disagree.
My contention is that JC didn't so much misjudge the pace as he did the ability of the horse under him.
I realize I'm in the minority here...no hard feelings though, I'm wearing my big boy pants tonight  |
NI lost the race by a little more than 3 1/2 lengths. What your'e saying is right. If NI had 4 lengths more ability (talent), he would have won. Yes, that is true. I don't know what that has to do with anything. You could say that about any bad ride. If a horse gets a bad ride and loses a race by 2 lengths, you could always say, "It wasn't the ride that cost the horse. If the horse had 2 1/2 lengths more ability, then he would have won any way."
That is true I suppose but what kind of argument is that?
I couldn't tell you why Javy moved way too soon. Did he misjudge how fast they were going or did he misjudge how long his horse could sustain his run? Does it matter? He made a major miscalculation either way. I don't know why he moved too soon. I just know he moved too soon.