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Old 11-17-2006, 07:29 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
The number was published initially too low, then admitted by Beyer to be a single race variant. The times for the day were:

NYB MSW 2YO fillies @ 7F: 1:26.51
CLM 20K @ 6F: 1:10.73
MSW 3U fillies @ 1 mile: 1:38.10
MSW 2YO's @ 6.5F: 1:17.25
CLM 50K @ 1 mile: 1:36.72
MSW 2YO's @ 6.5F: 1:17.59 - won by Reverberate
ALW 3U fillies @ 7F: 1:23.37
The Gazelle G1 @ 9F: 1:48.25 - won by Stellar Jayne
The Woodward G1 @ 9F: 1:46.38 (:45.70, 1:08.75, 1:33.35 fractions!)

My figures were (approx Beyer):
85 (51)
102.2 (75)
97.7 (68)
102.1 (75)
107.0 (82.6)
99.8 (71.7)
106.2 (80.7)
116.1 (99.4)
129.4 (122)
Thanks for the info. Do you remember what Beyer's rational was for using a single variant? What did they think happened between the Gazelle and the Woodward?

Your 122 approx Beyer would be the equiv of perhaps a 128-130 Beyer for a horse getting the same time but running near the rail. That seems a bit high for me, but who knows.

Another thing. You show an approximate Beyer of 99.4 for the Gazelle. With a time diff of less than 2 secs slower than the Woodward, wouldn't the Beyer diff be less than 17. Your approx figs show a diff of 22.6, which seems to big to me, unless you, too, are using diff variants.

At any rate, I think we agree the Woodward was an amazing race for both horses.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
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