| 
				 2/2: Gulfstream (2nd-11th); Santa Anita (4th-10th) 
 GULFSTREAM PARK
 
 POST-SCRATCHES
 
 
 2nd: CLM, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)
 
 Most Likely: #4 Spielberg 2-1 WON ($3.60)
 Best Value: #1 Break Up the Game 6-1 4th
 Next Best: #7 Well Read 3-1 7th
 Exotics Use: #5 Wingedlie 4-1 2nd
 
 
 3rd: 6th Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T/96' (P3, DD)
 
 Like the Toboggan at AQU, just 6 but hardly an easy group to decipher. Not sure you don't need the 'all' button to get through..
 
 Most Likely: #1 Varsity 3-1 WON ($5.80)
 Best Value: #5 Silver Cloud 5-1 5th
 Next Best: #4 Great Attack 5-2 3rd
 Exotics Use: #6 Berlino Di Tiger 4-1 6th
 
 
 4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)
 
 Most Likely: #7 Crown Polis 8-5 WON ($3.00)
 Next Best: #8 Cool Colony 3-1 4th
 Best Value: #10 Allard 15-1 11th
 Exotics Use: #9 R Paynes Prince 4-1 2nd
 
 <$5 DIME SUPER: 7 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-5-8-9-10-11 (1x4x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)
 
 
 5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)
 
 First important sophomore race of the day pits 2nd timer Verrazano v. Casse/Oxley Pasco runner up Sky Commander SCR'D, Zito/Whitney MDN winner Eton Blue and 2nd Casse player Gunderman. Top performance(s) will earn Fountain of Youth or similar stakes placement. I usually run the other way from Pletcher Cadillacs like Verrazano (El Padrino half brother), but impressive pressence schooling at Gulfstream last Thursday and 3 drills since 1/1/13 debut score over next out winner have me convinced..
 
 Most Likely: #4 Verrazano 8-5 WON ($2.40)
 Next Best: #2 Gunderman 3-1 3rd
 Exotics Use: #1 Eton Blue 6-1 2nd
 
 
 <$50 P4 Play:
 
 2: 1-4-5-7
 3: 1-2-3-4-5-6
 4: 7
 5: 4 (2)
 
 Verrazano: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x $1.50 = $36 $0.50 Pick 4 (4/1/7/3,4,7) Paid $9.20 x 3 = $27.60
 Gunderman: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
 
 
 6th: FL-MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)
 
 $1,122,116 Rainbow 6 carryover starts here..
 
 Tricky start to Rainbow sequence. Likely need to use the 4 below to get through first leg. Calabrese firster #1 Dreaming of Lucy WON and Plesa returnee #7 Sugar Babe are considers for deep P6 plays..
 
 Most Likely: #9 Form Fitting 5-2 6th
 Best Value: #2 Burning Truth 5-1 2nd
 Next Best: #8 With Prejudice 4-1 8th
 Exotics Use: #6 Red Diamond Lady 6-1 7th
 
 
 7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/36' (P5, P3, DD)
 
 Prado inherits appropriate fave Tricky Hat with Rosario at Tampa today and should get position before turn with only Saint Pete hustling early..
 
 Most Likely: #10 Tricky Hat 2-1 6th
 Best Value: #6 Shkspeare Shaliyah 6-1 4th
 Next Best: #8 Hobbs 5-1 WON ($7.80)
 Exotics Use: #1 Loukas 12-1 5th
 
 
 8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
 
 Now or never for Smooth Air brother Air Squadron in 3rd career start and imagine Chad Brown has him ready after Castellano found trouble last time..
 
 Most Likely: #7 Air Squadron 3-1 3rd
 Best Value: #4 Kid Twist 6-1 8th
 Next Best: #2 Doherty 5-2 WON ($4.80)
 Exotics Use: #5 Jagger M 4-1 4th
 
 <$5 DIME SUPER: Key 7 in 1st/2nd with 2-4-5-8 (1x4x3x2 + 4x1x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)
 
 
 9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)
 
 Yikes! Super competitive group. No combination would surprise..
 
 Most Likely: #6 Silver Rock 6-1 6th
 Next Best: #8 Exclusive Strike 3-1 5th
 Best Value: #4 Wait'n On Sumthin 15-1 10th
 Exotics Use: #1 No Play 6-1 8th
 
 
 10th: 62nd Hutcheson (G2), 3yo, 7f (DD)
 
 Assume Forty Tales has had enough time to acclimate to So. FL. Repeat of Philly effort makes him tough to beat here..
 
 Most Likely: #1 Forty Tales 4-1 2nd
 Next Best: #5 Merit Man 3-1 4th
 Best Value: #9 Pataky Kid 12-1 8th
 Exotics Use: #8 Honorable Dillon 8-1 WON ($7.20)
 
 
 11th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/36' (Super Hi-5)
 
 Jumbled set of lightly and unraced types. Total guessing game..
 
 Best Value: #10 Reach for the Sky 10-1 10th
 Next Best: #3 Oistin's Town 5-1 2nd
 Exotics Use: #9 North Slope 6-1 WON ($7.40)
 Super Add: #12 Drenched 7-2 3rd
 Hi-5 Play: #4 Autobahn Legend 6-1 8th
 
 
 <$30 P6 Play:
 
 6: 1-2-6-7-8-9
 7: 10
 8: 2-4-7
 9: 1-4-6-8
 10: 1
 11: 3-9-10-12
 
 6x1x3x4x1x4 = 288 x .10 = $28.80
 
 
 <$50 P5 Play:
 
 7: 10
 8: 2-4-7
 9: 1-4-6-8
 10: 1-5
 11: 3-9-10-12
 
 1x3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
 
 
 <$75 P4 Play:
 
 8: 2-4-7
 9: 1-4-6-8
 10: 1-5
 11: 3-4-5-9-10-12
 
 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
 
 
 
 SANTA ANITA PARK
 
 
 PRE-SCRATCHES
 
 
 4th: 75th Bob Lewis (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)
 
 Whether Flashback scared off competition for this or not, his effort here today will be heavily scrutinized. Looks to have everything his own way on front end over and above the perceived talent edge..
 
 Most Likely: #2 Flashback 3-5 WON ($3.00)
 Next Best: #3 Den's Legacy 5-2 2nd
 
 
 5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)
 
 Best Value: #8 Topic 9-2 5th
 Next Best: #1 Magnificent Shirl 3-1 WON ($5.70)
 Exotics Use: #7 Tizmetizyou 5-2 4th
 Super Add: #10 Hard Rockin Girl 6-1 6th
 
 
 6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)
 
 As pointed out by Rick Hammerle Friday, an unusual gethering with 5 of the 11 returning from layoffs of 7-12 months including serious Carla Gaines' serious American Blend..
 
 Most Likely: #11 American Blend 6-1 7th
 Next Best: #2 Italian Rules 3-1 WON ($7.20)
 Best Value: #4 Wall Dance 12-1 3rd
 Exotics Use: #1 Luckarack 6-1 6th
 
 
 7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)
 
 Most Likely: #6 Power Foot 4-1 4th
 Best Value: #9 Ivanho 5-1 WON ($15.60)
 Next Best: #4 Oligarch 4-1 5th
 Exotics Use: #2 Press Baron 7-2 6th
 
 
 8th: 66th Strub (G2), 4yo, 9f (P3, DD)
 
 Chess match event with top San Fernando finishers right back. Who will want to engage Fed Biz and at what point?
 
 Most Likely: #2 Fed Biz 2-1 3rd
 Next Best: #3 Guilt Trip 5-2 WON ($6.40)
 Exotics Use: #4 Tritap 5-2 5th
 
 
 9th: 54th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (DD)
 
 Tremendous lineup and thinking pace may get hot with any number of parties looking for early position. Question needing to be asked is who is preping for Kilroe and who is dead red today?
 
 Most Likely: #11 Wilkinson 9-2 2nd
 Next Best: #3 Vagabond Shoes 8-1 9th
 Exotics Use: #13 Suggestive Boy 9-2 WON ($10.40)
 Best Value: #1 Klisz 15-1 5th
 Super Add: #7 Silentio 6-1 3rd
 
 
 10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)
 
 Lots of speed signed on. Looking for a rallying sort..
 
 Most Likely: #14 Et Tu Walker 9-2 WON ($11.60)
 Best Value: #1 Time to Doubledown 8-1 3rd
 Next Best: #2 Eaton Hall 5-2 13th
 Exotics Use: #3 Heza Fox 8-1 12th
 Super Add: #7 Coyote Road 9-2 6th
 
 
 <$50 P4 Play:
 
 7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
 8: 2
 9: 3-11-13
 10: 1-2-3-7-14
 
 6x1x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
 
 
 Good luck!
 Steve
 
				__________________All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
 A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
 Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
 The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
 			 Last edited by Kasept : 02-03-2013 at 06:24 AM.
 |