Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
speed n fade in debut, along with a drop in class or surface switch to breeding ie turf horse.,first lasix and premier jock on. the perfect storm of angles imo
|
You snowballed angles so this would be harder to test...
Lets say the speed and fade came in a slow paced race and they're dropping in class but entered in a race with more early speed?
I know that's usually not the case, but if it was, the more determental pace scenario would undermine this badly.
A lot of the big form reversals with class dropping speed and fade maidens are because they're usually dropping from much faster paced races into spots where they can secure a clear early lead without being sent and dueling under pressure.
I am a big fan of horses who switch from breeding weakness to breeding strength for the first time ... but something like that is subjective.
First lasix usually helps...but I'm not sure how much value it has.
The jockey switch to a higher percentage rider is something I doubt would have value in a generic sense.