I don't know if he'll learn anything from it. It was a 4-horse field, but a veritable match race when none of the other two horses wanted to go on a suicide mission and pressure a superior horse.
Velazquez had more early speed anyway, but once he won the break and Emollient was crossed and cleared on, and none of the two others wanted to do anything stupid ... I think the in-race odds might have shifted from Even VS 4/5 to about 3/5 VS 7/5 pretty quickly.
The early inside move was a bad choice, but none of the other options he had were that good, especially with his horse getting a little rank and not settling well down there.
Like Mike Tyson liked to say: "everyone has a plan until they get hit." Once he lost the break, once he got no help from the two other riders doing something dumb, and once his horse wasn't happy to settle, he was left with two bad choices and probably took the worst of the two.
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