Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
Someone is doing a pretty brazen job of it tonight.
Race #7: Oddity --- a sucker horse with slow dirt form shipping in from Kentucky is 1/9 the entire way.
Thrown Away -- who has a serious pace edge and is the best horse in the race on dirt is 14/1 with 0 MTP.
I end up -- like a fool -- just betting Thrown Away but expecting a huge cancel on the favorite to come at the last second.
Thrown Away -- 14/1 when loaded in the gate paid $6.20
Here is the kicker though ... the 2/1 eventual favorite over the 2/1 eventual second choice paid $61.40 in the exacta.
http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20110819&RN=7
That exacta literally should have paid no more than $20 any day of the week.
The horse who was 1/9 before the late cancel job ended up being the 5/2 third choice in the betting.
A couple different people told me the exact same thing happened in race #2 at MNR today ... Andrun was 1/9 with 1 MTP and 2/5 as they loaded --- ended up not even close to favorite.
There is NO WAY in the world that $61.40 exacta ever pays more than $20 without that tote manipulation.
Considering the #2 went in the gate at "14/1" odds -- and the #8 went in the gate at "15/1" odds ... you can understand how it happened. |
this has been going on all meet, weekday nights are the worse. The horse that has always opened up at something ridiclously short like 1/5, then come 1-3 mtp, it floats up to 2-1, and a new favorite emerges. Obviously not one of these horses have won opening up at the heavy favorite, in the times I have watched. I got caught once and vowed to myself no more. I got home and figured to play a tri and exacta multiple times based on the heavy favorite. Needless to say they got me, and i kept noticing what was going on. So I have decided to avoid Moutaineer altogether even if i have pps.
Evangeline Dows this has happened a couple of times too, but nothing near as frequent or blatant as Mountaineer